Dual bounds for model-agnostic inference
Project description
A python implementation of the dual bounds framework for inference on partially identified estimands (and the solutions to optimization problems more generally). See https://dualbounds.readthedocs.io/en/latest/ for detailed documentation and tutorials.
Installation
To install dualbounds, just use pip:
pip install dualbounds
Documentation
Documentation and tutorials are available at https://dualbounds.readthedocs.io/en/latest/.
Quickstart
Given a response vector y, binary treatment vector W, covariate matrix X, and an (optional) propensity score vector pis, dualbounds allows analysts to perform inference on partially identified estimands of the form E[f(Y(0), Y(1), X)], for any choice of f. For example, the code below shows how to perform inference on P(Y(0) < Y(1)), the proportion of individuals who benefit from the treatment. Dual bounds can wrap on top of any machine learning model to provide provably valid confidence intervals in randomized experiments.
import dualbounds as db
from dualbounds.generic import DualBounds
# Generate synthetic data
data = db.gen_data.gen_regression_data(n=900, p=30, sample_seed=123)
# Initialize dual bounds object
dbnd = DualBounds(
f=lambda y0, y1, x: y0 < y1,
covariates=data['X'],
treatment=data['W'],
outcome=data['y'],
propensities=data['pis'],
outcome_model='ridge',
)
# Compute dual bounds and observe output
results = dbnd.fit(alpha=0.05).results()
Reference
If you use dualbounds in an academic publication, please consider citing Ji, Lei, and Spector (2023). The bibtex is below:
@misc{ji2023modelagnostic,
title={Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects},
author={Wenlong Ji and Lihua Lei and Asher Spector},
year={2023},
eprint={2310.08115},
archivePrefix={arXiv},
primaryClass={econ.EM}
}
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