predict-eth 0.1.2

Predict ETH challenges

Predict-ETH

This is a challenge to predict the price of ETH. With prize $$. It uses ocean.py library.

Predicting ETH accurately helps to make $ in trading ETH, yield farming or DeFi protocol development. And, you can sell your predictions as a datafeed, for others to do the same.

Then the challenge is: how accurately can you predict ETH?

Current challenge

• Predict-ETH Round 5 - predictions due Wed May 3, 2023. Announcement

Future challenges

Competitions are monthly. Predictions are due the first Wednesday of the month.

• Predict-ETH Round 6 - predictions due Wed Jun 7, 2023
• Predict-ETH Round 7 - predictions due Wed Jul 5, 2023
• ...

(We reserve the right to alter competitions that have not launched yet.)

Example End-to-End Flows

These are example full submissions to the challenge. You can use any of them as a starting point.

• Simple: To-the-point example, with simple input data (just ETH price) and simple model (linear dynamical model)
• Model optimization: Same as Simple with added optimization using cross-validation to select best hyperparameters.
• Compare models: Build models that predict 1-12 hours ahead in one shot. Compare linear, SVM, RF, and NN models.

Example Data Sources

These are examples of how to get data from various places. Each place has its own benefits.

Get ETH price data:

• Via Binance direct - most direct, but specific to Binance
• Via ccxt + Binance - unified API across 40 exchanges
• Via Ocean + Binance - unified API across 500+ data & compute services
• Via Ocean + TheGraph - like previous, but uses a GraphQL-shaped query

Inspiration: ideas for data & modeling

Here are ideas to get even more accurate results.

• More data sources
• Modeling approaches
• Articles on predicting ETH, etc

Inspiration from algorithmic trading

Getting into the head of a trader might inspire you in predicting ETH.

To help with that, the algorithmic trading flow README does a walk-through of the "Freqtrade" open-source trading tool with a custom trading strategy.

Appendix: Past challenges

• Predict-ETH Round 1 - predictions due Oct 16, 2022. Announcement
• Predict-ETH special: web3 ATL hackathon - predictions due Nov 6, 2022
• Predict-ETH Round 2 - predictions due Dec 11, 2022. Announcement, Winners
• Predict-ETH Round 3 - predictions due Mon Feb 20, 2023. Announcement, Winners
• Predict-ETH Round 5 - predictions due Wed May 3, 2023. Announcement, Winners

Appendix: Predict-eth library

Predict-eth is a library on pypi.

To install: pip3 install predict-eth

To further develop it:

• Developers flow
• Release process