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Rare-event simulation for random geometric graphs via importance sampling

Project description

pyregg

Rare-event simulation for random geometric graphs.

pyregg estimates the probability of rare events in Gilbert random geometric graphs using three estimators: Naïve Monte Carlo (NMC), Conditional Monte Carlo (CMC), and Importance Sampling (IS).

Installation

pip install pyregg

Rare Events

Module Rare Event
pyregg.ec Edge count ≤ ℓ
pyregg.md Maximum degree ≤ ℓ
pyregg.mcc Maximum connected component size ≤ ℓ
pyregg.ntg Number of triangles ≤ ℓ
pyregg.mcs Maximum clique size ≤ ℓ
pyregg.planar Graph is planar
pyregg.forest Graph is a forest (acyclic)

Quick Start

Each module exposes three functions: naive_mc, conditional_mc, and importance_sampling. All return (probability, rel_variance, n_samples).

import pyregg.ec as ec

# Estimate P(EC(G(X)) ≤ 15) on [0,10]² with κ=0.3, r=1
Z, RV, n = ec.importance_sampling(wind_len=10, kappa=0.3, int_range=1.0, level=15)
print(f"P ≈ {Z:.4e}  (relative variance {RV:.2f},  {n} samples)")
import pyregg.planar as planar

# Estimate P(G(X) is planar) on [0,10]² with κ=1.2, r=1
Z, RV, n = planar.importance_sampling(wind_len=10, kappa=1.2, int_range=1.0)
print(f"P ≈ {Z:.4e}  (relative variance {RV:.2f},  {n} samples)")
import pyregg.forest as forest

# Estimate P(G(X) is a forest) on [0,10]² with κ=0.3, r=1
Z, RV, n = forest.importance_sampling(wind_len=10, kappa=0.3, int_range=1.0)
print(f"P ≈ {Z:.4e}  (relative variance {RV:.2f},  {n} samples)")

API

Common parameters

Parameter Description
wind_len Side length of the square window [0, wind_len
kappa Intensity of the Poisson point process (points per unit area)
int_range Connection radius — two points are connected if their distance ≤ int_range
level Threshold ℓ (not used for planar or forest)
grid_res IS grid cells per interaction-range interval; total cells = (wind_len / int_range × grid_res)² (IS only, default 10)
max_iter Maximum number of samples (default 10⁸)
warm_up Minimum samples before checking convergence
tol Stop when relative variance / n < tol (default 0.001)
seed Integer random seed for reproducibility

Estimators

naive_mc(...) — Independent realisations; fraction satisfying the rare event.

conditional_mc(...) — Sequential point addition with analytic conditioning at each step.

importance_sampling(...) — Sequential point addition with cells that would violate the rare event blocked; likelihood-ratio correction ensures unbiasedness.

Dependencies

Python  >= 3.10
NumPy   >= 1.24
SciPy   >= 1.10
Numba   >= 0.57
NetworkX >= 3.0

References

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