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Scalable probabilistic impact modeling

Project description

aimz: Scalable probabilistic impact modeling

Project Status: Active – The project has reached a stable, usable state and is being actively developed. Run Pytest PyPI Conda Python License: Apache 2.0 Code style: ruff codecov DOI

Installation | Tutorial | User Guide | FAQs | Changelog

Overview

aimz is a Python library for scalable probabilistic impact modeling, enabling assessment of intervention effects on outcomes with a streamlined interface for fitting, sampling, prediction, and effect estimation—minimal boilerplate, accelerated execution, and powered by NumPyro, JAX, Xarray, and Zarr.

Features

  • Intuitive API combining the ease of use from ML frameworks with the flexibility of probabilistic modeling.
  • Accelerated computation via parallelism and distributed data.
  • Support for interventional causal inference for counterfactuals and causal effects.
  • MLflow integration for experiment tracking and model management.

Installation

Install aimz using either pip or conda:

pip install -U aimz
conda install -c conda-forge aimz

For additional details, see the full installation guide.

Usage

from aimz import ImpactModel

# Define probabilistic model (kernel) using Numpyro primitives
def model(X, y=None):
    ...

# Load or prepare data
X, y = ...

# Initialize ImpactModel
im = ImpactModel(
    model,
    rng_key=...,      # e.g., jax.random.key(0)
    inference=...,    # e.g., SVI (or MCMC)
)

# Fit model and draw posterior samples
im.fit(X, y)

# Make predictions or posterior predictive samples
dt = im.predict(X)

Contributing

See the Contributing Guide to get started.

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