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Implementation of event-based models for degenerative diseases.

Project description

EBM

This is the python package for implementing Event Based Models for Disease Progression.

Installation

pip install alabebm

Change Log

  • 2025-02-26 (V 0.3.4).
    • Modified the shuffle_order function to ensure full derangement, making convergence faster.
  • 2025-03-06 (V 0.4.0)
    • use pyproject.toml instead
    • update conjuage_priors_algo.py, now without using the auxiliary variable of participant_stages. Kept the uncertainties just like in soft_kmeans_algo.py.
  • 2025-03-07 (V 0.4.2)
    • Compute new_ln_likelihood_new_theta_phi based on new_theta_phi_estimates, which is based on stage_likelihoods_posteriors that is based on the newly proposed order and previous theta_phi_estimates.
    • Update theta_phi_estimates with new_theta_phi_estimates only if new order is accepted.
    • The fallback theta_phi_estimates is the previous parameters rather than theta_phi_default
    • all_accepted_orders.append(current_order_dict.copy()) to make sure the results are not mutated.
    • Previously I calculated the new_ln_likelihood and stage_likelihoods_posteriors based on the newly proposed order and previous theta_phi_estimates, and directly update theta_phi_estimates whether we accept the new order or not.
    • Previously, I excluded copy() in all_accepted_orders.append(current_order_dict.copy()), which is inaccurate.
  • 2025-03-17 (V 0.4.3)
    • Added skip and title_detail parameter in save_traceplot function.
  • 2025-03-18 (V 0.4.4)
    • Add optional horizontal bar indicating upper limit in trace plot.
  • 2025-03-18 (V 0.4.7)
    • Allowed keeping all cols (keep_all_cols) in data generation.
  • 2025-03-18 (V 0.4.9)
    • copy data_we_have and use data_we_have.loc[:, 'S_n'] in soft kmeans algo when preprocessing participant and biomarker data.
  • 2025-03-20 (V 0.5.1)
    • In hard kmeans, updated delta = ln_likelihood - current_ln_likelihood, and in soft kmeans and conjugate priors, made sure I am using delta = new_ln_likelihood_new_theta_phi - current_ln_likelihood.
    • In each iteration, use theta_phi_estimates = theta_phi_default.copy() first. This means, stage_likelihoods_posteriors is based on the default theta_phi, not the previous iteration.
  • 2025-03-21 (V 0.6.0)
    • Integrated all three algorithms to just one file algorithms/algorithm.py.
    • Changed the algorithm name of soft_kmeans to mle (maximum likelihood estimation)
    • Moved all helper functions from the algorithm script to utils/data_processing.py.
  • 2025-03-22 (V 0.7.4)
    • Current state should include both the current accepted order and its associated theta/phi. When updating theta/phi at the start of each iteration, use the current state's theta/phi (1) in the calculation of stage likelihoods and (2) as the fallback if either of the biomarker's clusters is empty or has only one measurement; (3) as the prior mean and variance.
    • Set conjugate_priors as the default algorithm.
  • 2025-03-22 (V 0.7.5)
    • Tried using cluster's mean and var as the prior.

Generate Random Data

from alabebm import generate, get_params_path, get_biomarker_order_path
import os
import json 

# Get path to default parameters
params_file = get_params_path()

# Get path to biomarker_order
biomarker_order_json = get_biomarker_order_path()

with open(biomarker_order_json, 'r') as file:
    biomarker_order = json.load(file)

generate(
    biomarker_order = biomarker_order,
    real_theta_phi_file=params_file,  # Use default parameters
    js = [50, 100],
    rs = [0.1, 0.5],
    num_of_datasets_per_combination=2,
    output_dir='my_data',
    seed = None,
    prefix = None,
    suffix = None,
)

Run MCMC Algorithms

from alabebm import run_ebm
from alabebm.data import get_sample_data_path
import os

print("Current Working Directory:", os.getcwd())

for algorithm in ['soft_kmeans', 'conjugate_priors', 'hard_kmeans']:
    results = run_ebm(
        data_file=get_sample_data_path('25|50_10.csv'),  # Use the path helper
        algorithm=algorithm,
        n_iter=2000,
        n_shuffle=2,
        burn_in=1000,
        thinning=20,
    )

Input data

The input data should have four columns:

  • participant: int
  • biomarker: str
  • measurement: float
  • diseased: bool

An example is https://raw.githubusercontent.com/hongtaoh/alabEBM/refs/heads/main/alabEBM/tests/my_data/10%7C100_0.csv

The data should be in a tidy format, i.e.,

  • Each variable is a column.
  • Each observation is a row.
  • Each type of observational unit is a table.

Features

  • Multiple MCMC algorithms:

    • Conjugate Priors
    • Hard K-means
    • Soft K-means
  • Data generation utilities

  • Extensive logging

Project details


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