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AMOC collapse early warning — GenesisAeon Package 18 (UTAC/CREP dynamical system)

Project description

amoc-utac

GenesisAeon Package 18 — Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation as UTAC System

DOI (GenesisAeon Whitepaper) MIT License CC BY 4.0 Part of genesis-os Package 18

AMOC modelled as UTAC dynamical system with physics-based early-warning from van Westen et al. (2024).

Key result: Γ_AMOC ≈ 0.251 (medium-CREP) → same universality point as neural criticality (η = 50 %).

Installation

pip install amoc-utac

For development:

pip install -e ".[dev]"

Quickstart

amoc-utac run --duration 120
amoc-utac tipping-estimate
amoc-utac zenodo-export

Integration in genesis-os

from genesis_os import GenesisOS
os = GenesisOS()
amoc = os.load_package(18)
results = amoc.run_cycle(duration_years=120)

Benchmark

Validated against RAPID array, van Westen 2024 & Ditlevsen 2023.

Falsifiable Prediction

AMOC crosses 50 % weakening (H* = 0.5 K) between 2045–2065.

Role in the GenesisAeon Ecosystem

amoc-utac is P18 in the GenesisAeon ecosystem, covering the oceanography / AMOC tipping domain. It applies the UTAC-Logistic ODE and CREP metrics to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, sharing its criticality framework (Γ ≈ 0.251) with sibling packages across other domains (e.g. neuroscience, heliophysics).

Citation

DOI

DOI will be assigned automatically on first GitHub Release once Zenodo–GitHub integration is enabled for this repo.

License

Code: MIT • Docs & Data: CC BY 4.0

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