AMOC collapse early warning — GenesisAeon Package 18 (UTAC/CREP dynamical system)
Project description
amoc-utac
GenesisAeon Package 18 — Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation as UTAC System
AMOC modelled as UTAC dynamical system with physics-based early-warning from van Westen et al. (2024).
Key result: Γ_AMOC ≈ 0.251 (medium-CREP) → same universality point as neural criticality (η = 50 %).
Installation
pip install amoc-utac
For development:
pip install -e ".[dev]"
Quickstart
amoc-utac run --duration 120
amoc-utac tipping-estimate
amoc-utac zenodo-export
Integration in genesis-os
from genesis_os import GenesisOS
os = GenesisOS()
amoc = os.load_package(18)
results = amoc.run_cycle(duration_years=120)
Benchmark
Validated against RAPID array, van Westen 2024 & Ditlevsen 2023.
Falsifiable Prediction
AMOC crosses 50 % weakening (H* = 0.5 K) between 2045–2065.
Role in the GenesisAeon Ecosystem
amoc-utac is P18 in the GenesisAeon ecosystem, covering the
oceanography / AMOC tipping domain. It applies the UTAC-Logistic ODE and
CREP metrics to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, sharing
its criticality framework (Γ ≈ 0.251) with sibling packages across other
domains (e.g. neuroscience, heliophysics).
Citation
DOI will be assigned automatically on first GitHub Release once Zenodo–GitHub integration is enabled for this repo.
License
Code: MIT • Docs & Data: CC BY 4.0
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