confidence-correctness-matrix 1.0.1

Confidence-Correctness Matrix

Confidence-Correctness Matrix

The package provides the methods for building the confidence-correctness matrix, for its visualization in a horizontal bar chart and for computing different probabilistic metrics. The confidence-correctness matrix is an innovative method to understand the behavior of a prediction model for classification problems.

This matrix provides information about the degree of confidence that the classifier has in its own predictions, indicating whether it is robust and reliable or uncertain and doubtful. This method has two variants: the class-independent confidence-correctness matrix and the class-specific confidence-correctness matrix depending on the kind of analysis required.

By analyzing the data provided by them, our goal is to improve the reliability and explainability of prediction models and to provide users with a clearer understanding of why a model has a high or low confidence about its predictions.

Installation

Serendipity Matrix can be installed from PyPI

pip install confidence_correctness_matrix

Or you can clone the repository and run:

pip install .

Sample usage

import numpy as np
from sklearn.naive_bayes import GaussianNB
from ucimlrepo import fetch_ucirepo

iris  = fetch_ucirepo(id=53) 
X, y = iris.data.features, iris.data.targets.squeeze()

model = GaussianNB().fit(X, y)
y_score = model.predict_proba(X)

prob_conf_matrix = prob_confusion_matrix(y, y_score, labels=classes)
prob_acc = prob_accuracy_score(y, y_score)
prob_f1 = prob_f1_score(y, y_score, average="weighted")

H, L = confidence_matrices(y, y_score)
lambda_H, lambda_L = confidence_weights(y, y_score)

ci_confCorrM = confidence_correctness_matrix(y, y_score, class_specific=False)
cd_confCorrM = confidence_correctness_matrix(y, y_score, class_specific=True)

plot_confidence(y, y_score)

Result sample

Probabilistic confusion matrix

Iris-setosa	Iris-versicolor	Iris-virginica
50	0	0
0	46.06	3.94
0	3.93	46.07

High-confidence matrix (H)

Iris-setosa	Iris-versicolor	Iris-virginica
50	0	0
0	45.374	2.314
0	2.644	45.715

lambda_H = 0.97365

Low-confidence matrix (L)

Iris-setosa	Iris-versicolor	Iris-virginica
0	0	0
0	0.686	1.626
0	1.285	0.356

lambda_L = 0.02635

Confident-Correctness matrix

	High-confidence	Low-confidence
Prob. mass on True class	0.941	0.007
Prob. mass on Other classes	0.033	0.019

Class-specific Confidence-Correctness Matrix horizontal bar chart

Class-specific Confidence-Correctness matrix

For more detailed examples, please refer to the following link.

Citation

The methodology is described in detail in:

[1] J. S. Aguilar-Ruiz and A. García Conde, “”

Documentation

Full documentation is available here.