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Uncertainty-first orbit propagation, ephemeris, orbit determination, and event detection for asteroids and comets, powered by automatic differentiation

Project description

empyrean

empyrean

Uncertainty-first orbit propagation, ephemeris, orbit determination, and event detection for asteroids and comets, powered by automatic differentiation

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pip install empyrean

A plain install pulls empyrean together with the B612 Foundation's pre-packaged SPICE kernels (~740 MB — see the table below). After installation, the first call to empyrean.initialize() downloads a small remainder (the moon_pa Moon-orientation kernel and the bias.dat star-catalog debiasing table — about 50 MB) that isn't available on PyPI.

Wheels are published for CPython >= 3.10 as a single abi3 stable-ABI wheel per architecture — one wheel covers CPython 3.10 and every newer version — across four platforms: macOS arm64, macOS x86_64, manylinux_2_28 x86_64, and manylinux_2_28 aarch64. There is no source distribution, so pip install empyrean on other platforms will not resolve — use the other distribution channels in the meantime.

What it does

  • Propagation — N-body (Sun, planets, Moon, Pluto) with EIH general relativity, Sun J2 and Earth J2–J4 zonal harmonics, 16 asteroid perturbers, and the Marsden non-gravitational model — selectable across Approximate / Basic / Standard force-model tiers (Standard is the default). GR15 and DOP853 integrators. Optional finite-burn thrust arcs — constant-RTN, velocity-tangent, or inertial-fixed steering, with per-arc Δv targeting corrections — layer on as a continuous-thrust force input.
  • Uncertainty — First-order (Jet1) state transition matrices; second-order (Jet2) state transition tensors; unscented sigma-point and Monte Carlo sampling; an adaptive Auto mode that escalates the method automatically through close approaches and relaxes it elsewhere. Optional per-epoch tagged-covariance readback.
  • Ephemeris — RA/Dec, rates, photometry (H–G, H–G₁G₂, H–G₁₂), light time, phase angle, solar elongation, local horizon.
  • Orbit determination — Gauss, Herget, and systematic-ranging (admissible region + Manifold of Variations) IOD → N-body differential correction over optical and radar (delay / Doppler) observations, with STM caching and outlier rejection. Validated against find_orb and JPL SBDB.
  • Events — Close approach (start/end), periapsis, gravitational capture (start/end), shadow entry/exit, atmospheric entry/exit, impact, and possible impact.

Quick start

import empyrean
from empyrean import Epochs, TimeScale

empyrean.download_data()   # SPICE kernels, first run only
empyrean.initialize()

# Query SBDB for Apophis and propagate through its 2029 Earth flyby
orbits = empyrean.query_sbdb(["Apophis"])
epochs = Epochs.from_kwargs(mjd=[65000.0], scale=TimeScale.TDB)
result = empyrean.propagate(orbits, epochs)

# Event timeline
for i in range(len(result.events.summary)):
    ev = result.events.summary
    print(f"{ev.event_type.to_pylist()[i]:25s} "
          f"{ev.body.to_pylist()[i]:8s} "
          f"MJD {ev.epoch.to_numpy()[i]:.2f}")

Orbit determination

obs, radar = empyrean.read_ades("observations.psv")   # (optical, radar)
result = empyrean.determine(obs)                       # one fit per call
print(
    f"converged={result.converged}, "
    f"RMS={result.summary.rms_ra_arcsec:.2f}\" RA / "
    f"{result.summary.rms_dec_arcsec:.2f}\" Dec"
)

Ephemeris

observers = empyrean.get_observer_states(["W84", "F51"], epochs)
eph = empyrean.generate_ephemeris(orbits, observers)

print(eph.ephemeris.coordinates.lon.to_numpy())   # RA (degrees)
print(eph.ephemeris.coordinates.lat.to_numpy())   # Dec (degrees)
print(eph.ephemeris.mag.to_numpy())               # apparent V magnitude

Uncertainty

from empyrean import UncertaintyMethod

# Second-order: populates STM (6x6) and STT (6x6x6)
result = empyrean.propagate(
    orbits, epochs,
    uncertainty_method=UncertaintyMethod.SECOND_ORDER,
)
print(result.sensitivity.stms_array().shape)   # (N, 6, 6)
print(result.sensitivity.stts_array().shape)   # (N, 6, 6, 6)

Continuous thrust

Model finite burns / low-thrust arcs by passing one ThrustParams per orbit through propagate's thrust_arcs keyword (None for the ballistic orbits). Each ThrustArc carries its own thrust, mass, specific impulse, steering law (constant-RTN, velocity-tangent, or inertial-fixed), and central body — the burn perturbs the trajectory through the same differentiated dynamics as gravity and the non-gravitational forces.

import empyrean
from empyrean import Origin
from empyrean.orbits.thrust import ConstantRTN, ThrustArc, ThrustParams

# One finite burn: 1 N over MJD 65000-65010 on a 500 kg spacecraft,
# mass depleting at Isp = 3000 s, steered at constant RTN angles
# relative to the Sun. `sharpness` sets the tanh on/off transition.
arc = ThrustArc(
    start_mjd_tdb=65000.0,
    end_mjd_tdb=65010.0,
    thrust_n=1.0,
    mass_kg=500.0,
    steering=ConstantRTN(alpha_rad=0.0, beta_rad=0.0),
    sharpness=100.0,
    central_body=Origin.SUN,
    isp_s=3000.0,
)

# One entry per orbit, positionally aligned with `orbits`. Add per-arc Δv
# targeting corrections with ThrustParams(arcs=[arc], dv_corrections=[...]).
result = empyrean.propagate(orbits, epochs, thrust_arcs=[ThrustParams(arcs=[arc])])

System handles

Assembling the force model has a fixed per-call cost. build_system assembles it once for a frozen {force model, frame, encounter-timescale divisor} key and returns a BuiltSystem you reuse across many propagations — the build-once, propagate-many pattern for short-arc campaigns. Its propagate / generate_ephemeris release the GIL, so the handle can be shared across threads. A call that disagrees with the frozen key is rejected loudly, never silently rebuilt; rebuild the handle after any initialize() / data reload.

import empyrean
from empyrean import ForceModelTier, Frame

# Build once for the Standard model in the ecliptic frame. force_model and
# frame accept the enums or their string / int forms.
system = empyrean.build_system(ForceModelTier.STANDARD, Frame.ECLIPTICJ2000)

result = system.propagate(orbits, epochs)

# describe() is the reproducibility record: the force-model menu plus the
# identity (SHA-256) of every loaded kernel.
desc = system.describe()
print(len(desc.perturber_origins), "perturbers,", len(desc.kernels), "kernels")

Impact probability and B-plane geometry

For each detected close approach, you can ask the propagator for an impact-probability assessment or a full B-plane breakdown — and run several uncertainty methods side-by-side on the same encounter:

import pyarrow.compute as pc

from empyrean import UncertaintyMethod

ips = empyrean.compute_impact_probabilities(
    orbits,
    end_epoch=63000.0,
    methods=[UncertaintyMethod.FIRST_ORDER, UncertaintyMethod.SECOND_ORDER],
)
ips.epochs.scale                    # "tdb"
ips.where(pc.field("method") == "second_order").ip_second_order.to_numpy()
ips.ip_linear.to_numpy()            # always populated

bps = empyrean.compute_b_planes(orbits, 63000.0, [UncertaintyMethod.SECOND_ORDER])
print(bps.b_dot_t_km.to_numpy())    # B·T (km)
print(bps.b_dot_r_km.to_numpy())    # B·R (km)
print(bps.semi_major_3sig_km.to_numpy())  # 3σ ellipse semi-major

Returns typed ImpactProbabilities and BPlanes quivr tables — one row per (method × orbit × body) encounter, with the closest-approach time as an embedded Epochs sub-table so .to_utc() / .to_tdb() just works.

Data files

empyrean needs a set of SPICE kernels. Most arrive via PyPI as installation dependencies; the remainder download on first use.

From pip (installed automatically with empyrean)

Package File Size
naif-de440 de440.bsp 114 MB
jpl-small-bodies-de441-n16 sb441-n16.bsp 616 MB
naif-eop-high-prec earth_latest_high_prec.bpc 5 MB
naif-eop-historical earth_620120_*.bpc 5 MB
naif-eop-predict earth_*_predict.bpc 1 MB
mpc-obscodes obscodes_extended.json 266 KB

empyrean bundles gm_de440.tpc (12 KB) in the wheel itself. On initialize(), empyrean stages symlinks to these files in the platform data directory (~/.local/share/empyrean/data/ on Linux, ~/Library/Application Support/empyrean/data/ on macOS; honors EMPYREAN_DATA_DIR) under the filenames the engine expects.

Downloaded by the engine when needed

File Size When Source
moon_pa_de440_200625.bpc 12 MB first initialize() NAIF — Moon orientation
bias.dat 35 MB first initialize() Star-catalog debiasing table (Eggl et al. 2020)
jwst_rec.bsp 121 MB on demand, for JWST observers NAIF — JWST ephemeris

Any of these can be relocated with EMPYREAN_DATA_DIR, and individual files can be preset with VILLENEUVE_*_PATH environment variables.

Accuracy

Validated against JPL Horizons, ASSIST (reboundx), and find_orb on 43 objects across 13 dynamical populations (NEOs, MBAs, Trojans, TNOs, comets, etc.). Sub-meter propagation accuracy on bounded timescales. See the validation notes.

No guarantee of accuracy

empyrean performs numerical computations used in planetary-science and mission-planning contexts. Outputs should not be used as the sole basis for any decision — including but not limited to impact monitoring, mission planning, collision avoidance, or navigation — without independent verification. See the LICENSE file shipped with this package for the full terms.

License

empyrean is dual-licensed:

  • Wrapper / binding source code — the Rust API surface, C-ABI bindings, and Python wrapper sources in the main repository — is licensed under the BSD 3-Clause License.
  • This Python wheel (and any other pre-compiled binary distribution of empyrean) is licensed under the proprietary Empyrean Binary License. The wheel is free to install and use (including commercial use) but may not be redistributed, modified, reverse-engineered, decompiled, or disassembled.

The BSD-3 grant covers only the binding / integration layers in the public repository. The propagation engine, orbit- determination engine, and automatic-differentiation library are proprietary closed-source components distributed only inside the compiled wheel — the wrapper sources call into them through stable internal APIs but do not contain their implementations. Cloning the repository will not let you build a working empyrean from source; install the published wheel.

Copyright © 2024–2026 Joachim Moeyens. All rights reserved.

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