fonz-dial 0.1.1

Online weight optimization via Thompson Sampling — learns optimal configurations from outcome feedback.

dial

Online weight optimization via Thompson Sampling. Learns optimal configurations from outcome feedback — no grid search, no manual tuning. Converges in ~50 observations. +41% NDCG@5 over fixed-weight baselines in controlled experiments.

pip install kusp-dial

Quick start

from thompson_bandits import ThompsonBandit, InMemoryStore

store = InMemoryStore(arm_ids=["relevance_heavy", "balanced", "recency_heavy"])
bandit = ThompsonBandit(store)

# Run the loop: select → observe → update
for query in queries:
    arm = bandit.select()
    reward = run_query(query, strategy=arm)
    bandit.update(arm, reward=reward)

print(bandit.get_summary())

After 50 iterations:

BanditSummary(
  best_arm='relevance_heavy',
  total_pulls=50,
  arms=[
    ArmSummary(arm_id='balanced',        mean=0.5765, pulls=11),
    ArmSummary(arm_id='recency_heavy',   mean=0.4210, pulls=8),
    ArmSummary(arm_id='relevance_heavy', mean=0.8903, pulls=31),
  ]
)

The bandit explores all three options early, then converges — 31 of 50 pulls on the winner, without you telling it which arm is best.

Why Dial?

vs. grid search / random search — Those require running every combination upfront. Dial learns online, one observation at a time. No batch experiments needed.

vs. manual tuning — Manual weights are a guess that stays frozen. Dial adapts when the best option shifts — user behavior drifts, data distributions change, what worked in January fails in March.

vs. contextual bandits (LinUCB, neural) — Those need feature engineering and thousands of observations. Dial works with 50 observations and zero features. Start with Dial; graduate to contextual bandits when you have the data to justify them.

vs. Bayesian optimization (Optuna, Ax) — Those optimize over continuous parameter spaces. Dial optimizes over discrete options (strategies, presets, model choices). Different problem shape.

Use cases

• Retrieval weight tuning — learn the optimal blend of relevance, recency, and importance for RAG systems
• Model routing — discover which LLM performs best for different query types
• Prompt selection — A/B test prompt variants with automatic convergence
• Feature flag rollout — promote variants based on measured outcomes
• Any multi-option decision where you can observe a reward signal

Features

• Beta posteriors — each arm maintains a Beta(alpha, beta) distribution updated with observed rewards
• Discounted Thompson Sampling — optional decay factor for non-stationary environments where the best arm shifts over time
• Cost-aware rewards — built-in cost_aware_reward() scales outcomes by resource efficiency
• Pluggable storage — InMemoryStore for testing, SQLiteStore for persistence, or implement the ArmStore protocol for anything else
• Zero SQLite dependency in core — bandit logic talks only to the ArmStore protocol
• Type-safe — full annotations, runtime_checkable Protocol

Storage backends

In-memory (ephemeral)

from thompson_bandits import InMemoryStore

store = InMemoryStore(arm_ids=["a", "b", "c"], prior_alpha=1.0, prior_beta=1.0)

SQLite (persistent)

from thompson_bandits import SQLiteStore

# From a file path (store owns the connection)
store = SQLiteStore.from_path("bandits.db", arm_ids=["a", "b", "c"])

# From an existing connection (you own the connection)
import sqlite3
conn = sqlite3.connect("bandits.db")
store = SQLiteStore(conn, arm_ids=["a", "b", "c"])

Custom storage

Implement the ArmStore protocol — any class with the right methods works, no inheritance required:

from thompson_bandits import ArmStore, ArmStats

class RedisStore:
    def get_stats(self, arm_id: str) -> ArmStats | None: ...
    def update_stats(self, arm_id: str, alpha_delta: float, beta_delta: float, reward: float) -> None: ...
    def get_all_arms(self) -> list[ArmStats]: ...
    def decay(self, arm_id: str, factor: float) -> None: ...

Non-stationary environments

When the best option changes over time, enable discounting:

from thompson_bandits import ThompsonBandit, InMemoryStore, BanditConfig

config = BanditConfig(discount=0.95)  # decay factor in (0, 1)
bandit = ThompsonBandit(store, config=config)

Before each update, existing evidence is decayed by the discount factor. Recent observations carry more weight than old ones.

Cost-aware optimization

When options have different costs (tokens, latency, dollars), scale rewards accordingly:

from thompson_bandits import cost_aware_reward

raw_reward = 0.9
token_cost = 1500
baseline_cost = 1000

adjusted = cost_aware_reward(raw_reward, cost=token_cost, baseline_cost=baseline_cost)
bandit.update(arm, reward=adjusted)

Inspecting state

summary = bandit.get_summary()
print(summary.best_arm)      # 'relevance_heavy'
print(summary.total_pulls)   # 50

for arm in summary.arms:
    print(f"{arm.arm_id}: mean={arm.mean:.3f}, pulls={arm.pulls}")
# balanced:        mean=0.577, pulls=11
# recency_heavy:   mean=0.421, pulls=8
# relevance_heavy: mean=0.890, pulls=31

Warm-start transfer

When you have prior knowledge (from a previous experiment, a related task, or domain expertise), encode it as informative priors instead of starting from uniform:

from thompson_bandits import ThompsonBandit, InMemoryStore, BanditConfig

# Previous experiment found relevance_heavy won ~63% of pulls.
# Encode that as Beta(6.3, 3.7) instead of the default Beta(1, 1).
config = BanditConfig(prior_alpha=1.0, prior_beta=1.0)
store = InMemoryStore(arm_ids=["relevance_heavy", "balanced", "recency_heavy"])

# Override priors for the arm with known history
arm = store.get_stats("relevance_heavy")
arm.alpha = 6.3
arm.beta = 3.7

bandit = ThompsonBandit(store, config=config)

The bandit starts biased toward the prior winner but remains open to switching if the data disagrees. With shrinkage (e.g., scaling the prior by 0.15), the prior influence fades within ~20 observations.

Research

Dial extracts the Thompson Sampling engine from a research experiment on gradient-free retrieval weight learning. The experiment ran 1,200 episodes across 4 conditions on a $50/month API budget.

Citation (BibTeX)

@article{dirocco2026gradient,
  title   = {Gradient-Free Retrieval Weight Learning via Thompson Sampling
             with LLM Self-Assessment},
  author  = {DiRocco, Alfonso},
  year    = {2026},
  url     = {https://github.com/kusp-dev/retrieval-weight-experiment},
  note    = {1,200 episodes, 4 conditions, +41\% NDCG@5 over fixed baselines}
}

Development

git clone https://github.com/fonz-ai/dial.git
cd dial
uv sync --extra dev
uv run pytest tests/ -v
uv run ruff check src/ tests/

License

MIT