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Bitcoin Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Backtest Framework

Project description

Hypertrial: Bitcoin DCA Strategy Framework

A Bitcoin Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) framework for evaluating and comparing algorithmic trading strategies across multiple market cycles.

Installation

pip install hypertrial

Quick Start

import pandas as pd
from hypertrial import backtest_dynamic_dca, load_data, register_strategy

# Load Bitcoin data (included with the package)
btc_df = load_data()

# Create a simple custom strategy
@register_strategy("my_custom_strategy")
def custom_dca_strategy(df):
    """A simple custom strategy that allocates more weight when price is below the 50-day MA."""
    # Add features
    df = df.copy()
    df['ma_50'] = df['btc_close'].rolling(window=50).mean()
    df['below_ma'] = (df['btc_close'] < df['ma_50']).astype(int)

    # Create weights
    weights = pd.Series(index=df.index, data=0.0)
    weights[df['below_ma'] == 1] = 2.0  # Double weight when below MA
    weights[df['below_ma'] == 0] = 0.5  # Half weight when above MA

    # Normalize weights (required)
    total_weight = weights.sum()
    if total_weight > 0:
        weights = weights / total_weight

    return weights

# Run backtest with your strategy
results = backtest_dynamic_dca(btc_df, strategy_name="my_custom_strategy")

Key Features

  • Strategy Development: Create and test custom DCA strategies with a flexible API
  • Performance Metrics: Analyze strategies using Sats Per Dollar (SPD) across market cycles
  • Cross-Cycle Analysis: Test strategies under different market conditions
  • Visualization Tools: Built-in plotting for strategy weights and performance metrics
  • Security Verification: Comprehensive security system for submitted strategies
  • External Data Support: Securely incorporate external data sources in your strategies
  • Tournament Platform: Submit and compare your strategies against others

Command Line Interface

Hypertrial comes with a built-in CLI:

# List available strategies
hypertrial --list

# Run backtest with a specific strategy
hypertrial --strategy dynamic_dca

# Run backtest for all strategies
hypertrial --backtest-all --output-dir results

# Disable plots during backtest
hypertrial --strategy my_strategy --no-plots

What is DCA?

Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) is an investment strategy where you invest a fixed amount at regular intervals, regardless of price. With Bitcoin, DCA helps mitigate volatility while accumulating BTC over time.

Hypertrial extends this concept by allowing for "dynamic" DCA - varying the purchase amounts strategically while maintaining the same total investment.

Resources

License

This project is available under the MIT License.

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