Skip to main content
███╗   ███╗  ██████╗ ██████╗ 
████╗ ████║ ██╔════╝ ██╔══██╗ ██████╗ ██╗    ██╗███████╗██████╗ 
██╔████╔██║ ██║      ██║  ██║██╔═══██╗██║    ██║██╔════╝██╔══██╗
██║╚██╔╝██║ ██║      ██████╔╝██║   ██║██║ █╗ ██║█████╗  ██████╔╝
██║ ╚═╝ ██║ ██║      ██╔═══╝ ██║   ██║██║███╗██║██╔══╝  ██╔══██╗
██║     ██║ ╚██████╗ ██║     ╚██████╔╝╚███╔███╔╝███████╗██║  ██║
╚═╝     ╚═╝  ╚═════╝ ╚═╝      ╚═════╝  ╚══╝╚══╝ ╚══════╝╚═╝  ╚═╝

Power analysis by simulation — any design from t-test to mixed models, in your browser, on your desktop, or in Python and R.

PyPI License: GPL v3 DOI

Why MCPower?

  • MCPower covers anything from ANOVA to generalized linear to mixed models. Analytical power formulas exist for a few textbook designs and are correct only when all their assumptions are met (they aren't). Monte Carlo is the ground truth they approximate.
  • Fast enough to mean it. A purpose-built engine, 100–1000× faster than a hand-written R/Python simulation loop — even the most complex power analysis runs in seconds, not hours or even days for mixed models. Speed stops being the reason to avoid simulation.
  • Robustness built in. Stress-tests your design against the messy, non-ideal data that formulas assume away, so you catch under-powering before you collect.
  • Easy, and everywhere. A few-line API across four bindings — Python, R, desktop app, browser. Free and open source.

Install

pip install mcpower

Plotting is an optional extra: pip install mcpower[plot] (needed for save_plot() and inline Jupyter plots).

numpy and pandas are not required — they're accepted only as optional input formats for upload_data() and set_correlations() (plain Python lists and dicts work everywhere). Install them with pip install mcpower[optional] if you want to pass arrays or DataFrames.

Quickstart

from mcpower import MCPower

# Clinical trial testing a new therapy vs control.
# Research question: Does the new therapy improve patient outcomes?

# Define the model with an R-style formula.
model = MCPower("patient_outcome = treatment + baseline_score")

# Expected effect sizes (standardised).
#   treatment=0.5      → therapy shifts outcomes by 0.5 SD (a medium effect).
#   baseline_score=0.3 → baseline moderately predicts the outcome.
model.set_effects("treatment=0.5, baseline_score=0.3")

# Variable types — treatment is binary (0=control, 1=therapy).
model.set_variable_type("treatment=binary")

# Power at N=120, targeting the treatment test.
# One row per effect with Power, 95% CI, and a ✓/✗ marker against target power.
model.find_power(sample_size=120, target_test="treatment")

More examples

Sample size search:

from mcpower import MCPower

# Educational intervention study.
# Research question: What N do we need to detect the intervention effect?

model = MCPower("test_score = intervention + prior_knowledge + motivation")

model.set_effects("intervention=0.4, prior_knowledge=0.35, motivation=0.3")

# Variable types — intervention is binary (0=control, 1=intervention).
model.set_variable_type("intervention=binary")

# Sweep a grid and report the smallest N that reaches target power.
model.find_sample_size(target_test="intervention", from_size=30, to_size=300, by=10)

Mixed-effects / LME (clustered data):

from mcpower import MCPower

# Education study where students are nested in classrooms.
# Research question: Does a teaching method raise test scores, accounting for
# the fact that students in the same classroom are correlated?

# Declare a mixed model. The (1|classroom) term adds a random intercept per
# classroom; family="lme" fits it by maximum likelihood (MLE estimator).
model = MCPower("score = teaching_method + prior_gpa + (1|classroom)", family="lme")
model.set_variable_type("teaching_method=binary")
model.set_effects("teaching_method=0.4, prior_gpa=0.18")

# Describe the clustering: ICC=0.15 (15% of variance is between-classroom)
# across 30 classrooms. At N=300 that is 10 students per classroom.
model.set_cluster("classroom", ICC=0.15, n_clusters=30)

# Power at N=300 for the fixed effects.
model.find_power(sample_size=300, target_test="teaching_method, prior_gpa")

See examples/ (01–11) and the Python tutorial for interactions, correlations, factors/ANOVA, logistic regression, your-own-data upload, custom scenarios, and plotting.

API at a glance

Two entry points, a fluent set_* chain:

Call What it does
MCPower("y = x1 + x2", family="ols") Define the model (R-style formula; family"ols"/"logit"/"probit"/"poisson"/"lme")
.set_effects("x1=0.5, x2=0.3") Standardised effect sizes
.set_variable_type("x1=binary, g=(factor,3)") Predictor distributions
.set_correlations("corr(x1, x2)=0.3") Correlations between predictors
.set_cluster("group", ICC=0.2, n_clusters=20) Random-effects structure (family="lme")
.set_baseline_probability(0.3) Event rate at reference (family="logit")
.upload_data(df) Use your own data instead of synthetic
.get_effects_from_data("y") Borrow starting effect sizes from uploaded data (approximate)
.set_seed(2137) · .set_alpha(0.05) · .set_power(80) · .set_simulations(n) Tuning knobs
.find_power(sample_size=200, target_test="all") Power at a fixed N
.find_sample_size(target_test="x1", from_size=50, to_size=400) Smallest N for target power

All set_* methods chain and return self; add scenarios=True to either find_* for optimistic/realistic/doomer robustness.

Docs

Full documentation: https://docs.mcpower.app.

Citation & License

GPL v3. If you use MCPower in research, please cite:

Lenartowicz, P. (2025). MCPower: Monte Carlo Power Analysis for Complex Statistical Models [Computer software]. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16502734

@software{mcpower2025,
  author    = {Lenartowicz, Pawe{\l}},
  title     = {{MCPower}: Monte Carlo Power Analysis for Complex Statistical Models},
  year      = {2025},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  doi       = {10.5281/zenodo.16502734},
  url       = {https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16502734}
}

Paweł LenartowiczFreestyler Scientist · GitHub · ORCID

Download files

Download the file for your platform. If you're not sure which to choose, learn more about installing packages.

Source Distributions

No source distribution files available for this release.See tutorial on generating distribution archives.

Built Distributions

If you're not sure about the file name format, learn more about wheel file names.

mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-win_amd64.whl (2.8 MB view details)

Uploaded CPython 3.10+Windows x86-64

mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-manylinux_2_28_x86_64.whl (3.1 MB view details)

Uploaded CPython 3.10+manylinux: glibc 2.28+ x86-64

mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-macosx_11_0_arm64.whl (2.3 MB view details)

Uploaded CPython 3.10+macOS 11.0+ ARM64

File details

Details for the file mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-win_amd64.whl.

File metadata

  • Download URL: mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-win_amd64.whl
  • Upload date:
  • Size: 2.8 MB
  • Tags: CPython 3.10+, Windows x86-64
  • Uploaded using Trusted Publishing? Yes
  • Uploaded via: twine/7.0.0 CPython/3.13.14

File hashes

Hashes for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-win_amd64.whl
Algorithm Hash digest
SHA256 0a682c621d65aa9b6e2e3b5323d669668fdba852a2151fb7c76bd2ee6aee04a6
MD5 e0c81d6f0719454633b85ad19d854e1d
BLAKE2b-256 1c4b2a72bd3b3da6149c82c1483b3be04d4bc7b3d646817526668de8108e925c

See more details on using hashes here.

Provenance

The following attestation bundles were made for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-win_amd64.whl:

Publisher: release-py.yml on pawlenartowicz/MCPower

Attestations: Values shown here reflect the state when the release was signed and may no longer be current.

File details

Details for the file mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-manylinux_2_28_x86_64.whl.

File metadata

File hashes

Hashes for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-manylinux_2_28_x86_64.whl
Algorithm Hash digest
SHA256 41840b4ba34a04f54e355876cfa411d1ae4314c26d34c5adcfb95947bdebeb29
MD5 8ffe7b792c88f9a45e28bb75edf3e831
BLAKE2b-256 93d1ef246b69e78971dd20a99e32620e87eddff1105fbdbdae8aaa8f6f34b4da

See more details on using hashes here.

Provenance

The following attestation bundles were made for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-manylinux_2_28_x86_64.whl:

Publisher: release-py.yml on pawlenartowicz/MCPower

Attestations: Values shown here reflect the state when the release was signed and may no longer be current.

File details

Details for the file mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-macosx_11_0_arm64.whl.

File metadata

File hashes

Hashes for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-macosx_11_0_arm64.whl
Algorithm Hash digest
SHA256 7490c48a945792fe066a26332b623b1023988eb69c576c6a1aa4670482bfa7d1
MD5 e55fd9993c53571e834ac989b4e11136
BLAKE2b-256 5ab6fd562fb5044348ef91c0143486448ed1d7334bc0cdb8db93037710847704

See more details on using hashes here.

Provenance

The following attestation bundles were made for mcpower-1.1.2-cp310-abi3-macosx_11_0_arm64.whl:

Publisher: release-py.yml on pawlenartowicz/MCPower

Attestations: Values shown here reflect the state when the release was signed and may no longer be current.

Release history Release notifications | RSS feed

1.4.0

3 files

1.3.0

3 files

This release

1.1.2 This release

3 files

1.1.1

3 files

1.0.3

3 files

1.0.2

3 files

1.0.0

3 files

0.6.1

21 files

0.6.0

21 files

0.5.4

21 files

0.5.3

21 files

0.5.2

17 files

0.5.1

17 files

0.5.0

17 files

0.4.2

17 files

0.4.1

17 files

0.4.0

17 files

0.3.3

10 files

0.3.2

10 files

0.3.1

10 files

0.3.0

10 files

Anthropic, PBC Visionary sponsor Bloomberg Visionary sponsor Hudson River Trading Visionary sponsor Meta Visionary sponsor NVIDIA Visionary sponsor Microsoft Sustainability sponsor Depot Continuous Integration AWS Cloud computing and Security Sponsor Datadog Monitoring Fastly CDN Google Download Analytics Sentry Error logging StatusPage Status page