Compose foundation models into corporate decision agents
Project description
Mimic
Compose foundation models into corporate decision agents.
Mimic lets you spin up an LLM-based digital twin of any public company, then simulate how it would respond to real-world events — validated against what companies actually did.
import mimic
twin = mimic.Twin.from_ticker("WMT")
result = twin.simulate("China port closes for 30 days")
print(result.pretty())
EVENT: China port closes for 30 days
────────────────────────────────────────
0-24h: Activate Vietnam + Mexico supplier tier, alert logistics team
1-7d: Pre-build 45-day inventory buffer on top 200 SKUs
8-30d: Temporary pricing adjustment on affected categories (+2-4%)
Financial impact (P10/P50/P90): -$800M / -$1.4B / -$2.1B
Confidence: 73%
How It Works
Mimic composes three things that already exist — foundation models, free public data, and textbook economic formulas — into something that doesn't: validated company behavior simulation.
SEC EDGAR (free) →
yfinance (free) → CompanyContext → Economic Formulas → LLM Orchestrator → Decision
FRED / news (free) →
↑
TimesFM / Chronos (plug-and-play)
You swap any component in one line. Don't want TimesFM? Use Chronos. Don't want GPT-4? Use Claude. Don't want the default COGS formula? Override it.
Install
pip install mimic-framework
Requires Python 3.11+. Set OPENAI_API_KEY in your env.
Quick Start
1. Build a twin from any ticker
from mimic import Twin
# Auto-pulls from SEC EDGAR + yfinance
twin = Twin.from_ticker("AAPL")
2. Simulate an event
result = twin.simulate(
event="Taiwan Strait closes for 6 weeks",
severity=0.85,
)
print(result.immediate_action_0_24h)
print(result.financial_impact_mid) # $M, P50 estimate
print(result.confidence)
3. Swap foundation models (plug-and-play)
import mimic
twin = Twin.from_ticker("JPM")
result = twin.simulate("Fed raises rates 100bps", model="claude-opus-4-5")
4. Run the benchmark
from mimic.benchmark import run_benchmark
results = run_benchmark(
tickers=["WMT", "AAPL", "JPM", "XOM", "MSFT"],
event_set="crisis_2015_2024",
)
print(results.summary())
# Average fidelity: 0.71 across 2,847 labeled (event, company) pairs
Economic Formulas Library
Mimic ships 10 textbook economic primitives that feed into every simulation. Each is a pure Python function and fully overridable:
| Formula | What It Computes |
|---|---|
dcf_impact |
EV change from a cash flow shock |
altman_z |
Bankruptcy risk score |
cogs_sensitivity |
Input cost shock → margin impact |
fx_passthrough |
Currency moves → P&L impact |
inventory_burn |
Days of buffer remaining |
bayes_update |
Probability updating from new evidence |
capm_response |
Stock reaction to market move |
operating_leverage |
Margin elasticity to revenue |
supplier_hhi |
Supply concentration risk (HHI) |
cascade_propagate |
Supply chain shock propagation |
from mimic.formulas import cogs_sensitivity
result = cogs_sensitivity(
revenue=650_000, # $M
cogs=490_000,
input_shock_pct=0.15, # 15% cost spike
passthrough_rate=0.40,
)
# {'margin_compression': 0.031, 'annual_ebitda_impact_usdM': -4410.0}
Benchmark
Mimic ships a benchmark of 200 historical events × 50 companies, with ~2,800 ground-truth-labeled (event, company) response pairs extracted from actual earnings calls and 8-K filings.
| Metric | v0.1 |
|---|---|
| Average fidelity score | 0.71 |
| Companies covered | 50 (S&P 500) |
| Historical events | 200 (2010–2024) |
| Labeled pairs | ~2,847 |
Roadmap
- SEC EDGAR ingestion
- 10 economic formulas
- LLM orchestrator (GPT-4o + Claude)
- Benchmark v1 (200 events × 50 companies)
- TimesFM + Chronos integration (v0.2)
- FinBERT2 sentiment layer (v0.2)
- Multi-company simulation (v0.3)
- REST API + hosted version
License
MIT
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