mixpilot 0.1.0

An agentic harness for marketing measurement: adstock, saturation, attribution, and budget allocation as typed agent tools with an eval suite.

MixPilot

An agentic harness for marketing measurement.

Everyone is building general-purpose agents. MixPilot is the opposite bet: a small, real agent runtime whose entire action space is the marketing-science toolkit — adstock, saturation, multi-touch attribution, budget optimisation, and a marketing-aware data-quality audit — wired as typed tools with structured results, an approval gate, and an eval suite that scores the agent's method-selection judgment.

The thesis: in a domain agent, the tools are the product. A model can sound confident about marketing data; the hard part is knowing which method the data can actually support — and refusing the ones it can't. That judgment is what MixPilot encodes and tests.

pip install mixpilot           # tools only
pip install "mixpilot[agent]"  # + the Anthropic-backed agent loop

What's inside

Component	What it does	The lesson
audit_data_quality	nulls, negative spend, zero-variance, multicollinearity	The audit decides whether any later number is trustworthy at all
adstock_transform	geometric carryover with half-life	Carryover before saturation, always
fit_saturation_curve	Hill curve (β, α, γ) + R²	A low-R² curve is a warning, not a result
run_attribution_model	last-touch / linear / Markov removal-effect	Match the model to the data shape, never overreach
allocate_budget	constrained optimisation over saturation curves	Move money toward unsaturated marginal return
ToolResult contract	summary + next_actions + recovery_hint on every call	A tool result is the next observation, not a log line
Approval gate	mutating actions clear a policy gate outside the prompt	Safety lives in code, not prose
Agent loop	turn budget + loop detection + stop conditions	The loop is a control system, not a while-tool-calls toy
Eval suite	data shape → required/forbidden method	Test the judgment, not the prose

The judgment, made concrete

Same data, two attribution models:

from mixpilot.tools.attribution import run_attribution_model

paths  = [{"path": ["Social", "Search"], "converted": True}] * 40
paths += [{"path": ["Social"],           "converted": False}] * 20

run_attribution_model(paths, "last_touch").artifacts["share"]
# {'Search': 1.0, 'Social': 0.0}   <- the assist is thrown away
run_attribution_model(paths, "markov").artifacts["share"]
# {'Search': 0.5, 'Social': 0.5}   <- both channels are necessary

Last-touch hands Social nothing. Markov's removal effect sees that every conversion needed Social first, and splits the credit. That gap — assist value — is the entire reason multi-touch attribution exists.

Running the agent

from mixpilot import Agent
from mixpilot.agent.client import AnthropicClient

agent = Agent(AnthropicClient())   # needs ANTHROPIC_API_KEY
result = agent.run(
    "Here are 12 weeks of spend and sales for one channel ... "
    "what's the saturation point and should we spend more?"
)
print(result.final_text)

The loop injects the client, so it runs against a real model in production and a scripted client in evals — no network needed to test the harness.

Evals: scoring method selection

python evals/run_evals.py          # offline, deterministic
python evals/run_evals.py --live   # against a real model

Each case pairs a data shape with the methods it does and does not support. A case passes only if the agent uses every required tool and avoids every forbidden one — e.g. it must not run Markov attribution on single-touch data, and must audit before claiming per-channel effects on collinear spend.

Tests

python -m pytest -q     # 10 passing — domain math + harness contracts

The tests never call a model. They prove the adstock conserves mass, the Hill fit recovers known parameters, the Markov removal effect credits assists, the optimiser moves budget toward unsaturated channels, the audit catches multicollinearity, and the approval gate blocks mutating actions. Harness reliability that has nothing to do with model intelligence.

Scope

This is deliberately small. No context compaction, no MCP, no subagents — those are solved problems in general harnesses. The point here is the opposite: how far you get when the action space is a real domain and the tools enforce the judgment.

MIT licensed.