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ModelSwapBench

Open-source model portability testing for real AI workflows.

Run the same workflow across local, open-weight, self-hosted, and hosted models. Measure quality, latency, policy compliance, and cost per successful outcome before you commit to a vendor.

Status: 0.1.0b1 beta - usable and fully offline-capable, with hardened evidence semantics (unknown evidence is never treated as zero or as a pass). Beta does not mean production-certified or universally safe; APIs may still change before 1.0.

ModelSwapBench evaluates whether another model can replace an existing model for a real workflow while preserving quality, reliability, policy compliance, business outcomes, and acceptable cost.

Who should use this?

  • AI platform teams evaluating provider or model changes
  • Private and local AI teams validating offline alternatives
  • Regulated organizations and government contractors planning controlled routes
  • FinOps teams comparing estimated cost per successful outcome
  • Model evaluation researchers who need deterministic, portable evidence
  • Organizations planning to change providers without a blind cutover

Why it exists

Teams are told a cheaper or local model "can't replace" their expensive hosted model — but rarely with evidence tied to the actual workflow. ModelSwapBench answers the real question:

Can a cheaper, local, open-weight, or alternative-provider model replace my current model without breaking my workflow — and what does it cost per successful outcome?

It is a decision-support tool for model replacement, not a leaderboard, not a foundation-model laboratory, and not proof that one model is universally better.

Anti-lock-in by design

  • Provider-neutral benchmark definitions in plain YAML/JSON you own and edit.
  • Portable JSON, CSV, Markdown, and HTML reports; raw results always exportable.
  • Standard HTTP provider interfaces; OpenAI-compatible local endpoints; Ollama; Forge.
  • No mandatory hosted service, account, cloud database, or telemetry.
  • Replaceable model adapters, evaluators, and pricing registries.
  • Everything runs local-first; hosted providers are opt-in per suite.

Architecture

benchmark.yaml ─► config (typed, validated) ─► runner ─► providers ─► models
                                                  │
                                     evaluators ◄─┘ (deterministic, evidence-based)
                                                  │
             scoring / economics / replacement ◄──┘
                                                  │
        storage (SQLite index + files) ◄──────────┤──► reports (md/json/csv/html)
                                                  │
                          reproducibility manifest

Five-minute offline example (no downloads, no credentials)

Install from PyPI:

python -m pip install modelswapbench

Install this repository for development:

git clone https://github.com/sekacorn/ModelSwapBench.git
cd ModelSwapBench
python -m venv .venv
# Windows:
.venv\Scripts\python -m pip install -e ".[dev]"
# Linux/macOS:
.venv/bin/python -m pip install -e ".[dev]"

modelswapbench doctor
modelswapbench validate examples/support-ticket-triage/benchmark.yaml
modelswapbench run examples/support-ticket-triage/benchmark.yaml
modelswapbench report latest --format markdown
modelswapbench compare latest
modelswapbench exit-report --baseline openai:gpt-4o --candidate ollama:qwen2.5:3b \
  --input examples/vendor_exit/customer_support_results.json \
  --output reports/vendor_exit_report.md --format markdown
modelswapbench route-plan \
  --input examples/route_plan/customer_support_routing_results.json \
  --output reports/model_routing_plan.md \
  --format markdown \
  --baseline openai:gpt-4o \
  --candidate ollama:qwen2.5:3b \
  --export-json reports/model_routing_plan.json

The first example runs entirely with the deterministic provider — no paid model credentials and no model downloads required.

Private datasets and CI evidence

Private evaluation datasets are local JSON or JSONL files with strict schemas, bounded inputs, stable case ordering, duplicate-key and duplicate-ID rejection, and deterministic SHA-256 digests. Cases can carry references, rubrics, expected tools, policy/citation expectations, risk, privacy, provenance, and outcomes.

modelswapbench dataset create --output private-evaluation.json
modelswapbench dataset inspect private-evaluation.json
modelswapbench dataset split private-evaluation.json --train 80 --test 20
modelswapbench dataset redact private-evaluation.json --output redacted.json
modelswapbench gate baseline.json candidate.json --thresholds gates.json --format junit

Gate exit 0 passes, 1 is a regression, 2 is invalid input, and 4 means evidence is insufficient. Quality and cost gates are only as reliable as the dataset and operator-supplied pricing assumptions.

Run against a real local model (Ollama)

ollama pull qwen2.5:3b
# Edit a suite so a model uses: provider: ollama, model: qwen2.5:3b, deployment: local
modelswapbench run examples/support-ticket-triage/benchmark.yaml

No model is ever pulled automatically, and there is no silent hosted fallback.

Benchmark YAML

name: support-ticket-triage
version: "1.0"
baseline_model: hosted-baseline
models:
  - {alias: local-candidate, provider: ollama, model: qwen2.5:3b, deployment: local}
  - {alias: hosted-baseline, provider: deterministic, model: baseline-fixture, deployment: test}
cases:
  - id: duplicate-billing
    input: {message: "I was charged twice and need help."}
    expected: {category: billing, escalation_required: true}
evaluators: [json_parse, json_schema, field_match, forbidden_content]
constraints: {minimum_success_rate: 0.80, maximum_cost_per_success_usd: 0.05}
replacement: {baseline: hosted-baseline, candidates: [local-candidate], maximum_quality_drop: 0.05}

Print the full JSON Schema any time: modelswapbench schema.

Cost per successful outcome

The primary economic metric is:

cost_per_success = total_cost / successful_cases

Zero successful cases is handled safely (reported as "n/a", never a divide error). Cost can be computed as zero-marginal (token/API pricing) or estimated compute (electricity, GPU amortization, cloud-GPU-equivalent) from an operator-supplied profile. Estimates are always clearly labeled as estimates.

Replacement recommendations

A candidate is recommended only when every required gate passes. The decision is transparent and always carries its evidence — failures are never hidden behind an aggregate score. Possible outcomes: recommended replacement · recommended with conditions · suitable as first-stage model with escalation · not recommended · insufficient evidence.

AI Vendor Exit Report

modelswapbench exit-report creates a CTO-friendly migration report from deterministic benchmark summaries or fixture JSONL data. It answers whether a candidate model appears good enough to replace a baseline model for a specific workload, with quality retention, estimated cost reduction, latency change, risk profile, limitations, and reproducibility details.

modelswapbench exit-report \
  --baseline openai:gpt-4o \
  --candidate ollama:qwen2.5:3b \
  --input examples/vendor_exit/customer_support_results.json \
  --output reports/vendor_exit_report.md \
  --format markdown \
  --risk-profile medium \
  --export-aimeter reports/aimeter_summary.json \
  --export-auditlog reports/audit_events.jsonl

Portable exports:

  • --export-aimeter PATH writes an AIMeter OSS-style JSON summary for estimated cost, efficiency, latency, decision, and outcome measurement workflows.
  • --export-auditlog PATH writes AIAuditLog-style JSONL audit events for carrying vendor-exit evidence into audit-review workflows.

These exports are deterministic, offline-first, and file-based. They do not add runtime dependencies on AIMeter OSS or AIAuditLog, and they do not automatically prove compliance.

Sample excerpt:

# AI Vendor Exit Report

## Decision

**Candidate acceptable**

## Cost

- Caveat: estimated cost is not invoice-confirmed.
- Caveat: projected savings are not realized savings.

This helps reduce vendor lock-in by separating the replacement decision from provider marketing: the organization can inspect its own workload evidence, thresholds, and risk boundaries before migration. Passing the report does not prove legal, regulatory, safety, or security compliance, and human review may still be required for high-risk workflows.

Model Routing Plan

modelswapbench route-plan helps teams reduce vendor lock-in gradually by identifying which tasks can move to a candidate model, which should remain on the baseline model, which require human review, and which should be escalated or blocked.

modelswapbench route-plan \
  --input examples/route_plan/customer_support_routing_results.json \
  --output reports/model_routing_plan.md \
  --format markdown \
  --baseline openai:gpt-4o \
  --candidate ollama:qwen2.5:3b \
  --risk-profile medium \
  --export-json reports/model_routing_plan.json \
  --export-aimeter reports/route_aimeter_summary.json \
  --export-auditlog reports/route_audit_events.jsonl

The plan classifies each task as candidate_model, baseline_model, human_review, or blocked_or_escalate, with quality, cost, latency, policy notes, routing percentages, and blended estimated savings when enough cost data exists.

Portable exports are deterministic, offline-first, and file-based:

  • --export-json PATH writes the full machine-readable route plan.
  • --export-aimeter PATH writes an AIMeter OSS-style route cost/outcome summary.
  • --export-auditlog PATH writes AIAuditLog-style JSONL audit events.

These exports do not add runtime dependencies on AIMeter OSS or AIAuditLog. Estimated cost is not invoice-confirmed, projected savings are not realized savings, and route decisions are not legal, compliance, safety, or security guarantees.

Cascade strategy

Run a cheap/local model first and escalate only failing or low-confidence cases to a stronger model. Reports escalation rate, combined success, and combined cost per success — see examples/cascade-routing.

Privacy

  • Local providers allowed by default; hosted providers denied by default.
  • Benchmark data never leaves the machine unless you pass --allow-hosted and set privacy.allow_hosted_providers: true, after an explicit warning.
  • No telemetry, no uploads; raw outputs stored locally; secrets redacted from logs and reports; API keys are read from environment variables and never written out.

Evaluators

exact_match · contains / forbidden_content · regex · json_parse · json_schema · field_match · tool_selection · policy_compliance · citation · latency · cost · optional rubric (keyword heuristic; never the sole evaluator; judge-model mode on the roadmap).

CLI

doctor · init · validate · schema · models · providers · run · compare · gate · report · exit-report · route-plan · dataset validate|inspect|digest|create|split|redact · outcomes summarize · workflow evaluate · replay sanitize · telemetry export · runs list|show · reproduce · clean · pricing show|validate|set · examples list.

Exit codes: 0 success · 1 constraints failed · 2 invalid input · 3 provider unavailable · 4 partial run · 5 internal error.

Output formats

Markdown (human report), JSON (full machine record), CSV (per-model summary), and self-contained HTML. Raw model outputs and evaluator evidence are stored per run.

Reproducibility

Every run writes a manifest (suite hash, package/Forge/Python versions, platform, models, execution params, seed, git commit). modelswapbench reproduce RUN_ID re-runs the recorded suite and warns on version drift rather than pretending the run is identical.

Known limitations

  • Results are evidence for a replacement decision, not proof one model is best.
  • Cost figures are estimates, not measured billing.
  • Deterministic providers simulate behavior; only Ollama / OpenAI-compatible runs reflect real models.
  • Small case counts yield low-confidence or insufficient-evidence decisions; confidence intervals do not make a weak dataset representative.
  • The Forge adapter exercises the provider layer, not full agent orchestration (roadmap).
  • Human outcomes and sanitized traces are only as complete as the local labels and instrumentation supplied by the operator.
  • OpenTelemetry output is a versioned compatibility mapping, not a claim of full or permanently stable semantic-convention conformance.

Roadmap

Current beta: deterministic, Ollama, Forge, and OpenAI-compatible providers; YAML benchmark suites; strict private JSON/JSONL datasets; deterministic evaluators; cost, latency, reliability, statistical, and human-outcome evidence; CI regression gates; multi-turn/tool workflow evaluation; sanitized trace replay; portable OpenTelemetry-compatible exports; risk-aware routes; and static JSON, CSV, Markdown, and HTML reports.

Later candidates: richer hosted adapters, benchmark registries, signed manifests, distributed execution, and broader workflow-evaluation fixtures. Roadmap items are not commitments and will retain the local-first, explicit-opt-in privacy model.

Contributing

See CONTRIBUTING.md, ARCHITECTURE.md, and docs/. Issues and PRs welcome.

License

Apache License 2.0 — Copyright (c) 2026 sekacorn. Dependency licenses are listed in docs/dependency-licenses.md.

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