mountain-governance-adaptation-utac

GenesisAeon Package 104 — the governance/institutional closing chapter of the P99–P103 series. Deliberately has no UTAC/CREP/AFET bridge — see DISCLAIMER.md.

What this is, and what it deliberately is not

This package documents real, dated institutional facts — treaties, funds, negotiation status — as citable data. It does not simulate governance dynamics (no actor-network models, no allocation-rule solvers, no predicted outcomes). That distinction was a deliberate scope decision: P99–P103's whole methodology works because a stress value or a sedimentation rate can be independently verified against a paper. Political process can't be reduced to that kind of code honestly — so this package sticks to documenting what is real and dated, not modeling how governance "works."

It also deliberately excludes personal and indigenous testimony about non-economic losses (e.g. statements made at COP29 by affected community members) from its data. Encoding grief and lived experience as a Python constant next to a funding figure would be a category error, not a simplification. If you want that testimony, go to its original source — the COP29 proceedings and UNFCCC WIM ExCom documentation — where it is properly attributed and contextualized, not flattened into a citation string.

Two confidence tiers

• Core (transboundary_governance, loss_and_damage, most of national_adaptation): real, dated institutional facts independently re-verified 2026-08-14/15.
• Documented (two NDC/NAP percentages in national_adaptation): carried over from the source dialogue without the same independent re-verification this session — flagged via DOCUMENTED_TIER_WARNING.

What's real here

• Indus Waters Treaty (1960) — suspended by India on 2025-04-23, still suspended as of mid-2026. A 65-year, war-surviving treaty, suspended for non-hydrological reasons.
• Colorado River Compact (1922) — 16.5 MAF/yr nominal allocation against a real natural flow that's declined ~19% from the 20th-century average, with Upper Basin, Lower Basin and (for the first time) Tribal Nations in active 2025 renegotiation.
• Mekong Agreement (1995) — Cambodia/Laos/Thailand/Vietnam bound by real obligations; China and Myanmar (the two upper-basin states) are only dialogue partners, not bound — a real structural asymmetry.
• The mountain-specific adaptation finance gap, corrected from the source dialogue's generalized global figure: mountainous developing countries need an estimated ~$187bn/yr but received only ~$13.8bn in 2022 — about 7% coverage.
• The Fund for responding to Loss and Damage (FRLD) — real, operational since COP29 (2025), hosted by the World Bank, Philippines as host country, $822.06M pledged by 27 partners as of 2026-03-15 (24 of whom have actually signed contribution agreements).
• UNFCCC WIM ExCom's second Non-Economic Losses Plan of Action (Oct 2025–Oct 2027) and its real institutional NEL categories (loss of life, health, mobility, territory, cultural heritage, local/ indigenous knowledge) — corroborated by Islar et al. (2025)'s socio-glaciology framework, already cited in this ecosystem's P103.

Quickstart

pip install mountain-governance-adaptation-utac

from mountain_governance_adaptation_utac import (
    INDUS_WATERS_TREATY,
    colorado_river_current_deficit_maf,
    mountain_adaptation_finance_gap_usd_billions_per_yr,
    FRLD_CURRENT_STATUS,
    nel_categories,
    TESTIMONY_EXCLUSION_NOTE,
)

print(INDUS_WATERS_TREATY.status_note)
print(colorado_river_current_deficit_maf())              # ~5.7 MAF/yr
print(mountain_adaptation_finance_gap_usd_billions_per_yr())  # ~173.2
print(FRLD_CURRENT_STATUS.pledged_usd_millions)            # 822.06
print(nel_categories())

print(TESTIMONY_EXCLUSION_NOTE)

Development

pip install -e ".[dev]"
pre-commit install
ruff check src tests
mypy src
pytest

Citation

See CITATION.cff and .zenodo.json.