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Utility functions for extracting log-probabilities, parameter transforms, and Fisher information from NumPyro models.

Project description

numpyro-inferutils

Small utility functions for inference with NumPyro models.

This package provides lightweight helpers for:

  • extracting log-prior and log-likelihood from NumPyro models,
  • working with constrained / unconstrained parameter spaces,
  • computing Fisher information matrices from NumPyro models with independent Gaussian likelihoods,
  • computing Hessian matrices of log-likelihood / log-prior / log-posterior directly from NumPyro models,
  • performing MAP estimation using stochastic variational inference (SVI).

Installation

pip install numpyro-inferutils

Quick examples

A minimal NumPyro model

All examples below assume a simple NumPyro model such as:

import numpyro
import numpyro.distributions as dist
import numpy as np

x = np.linspace(-5, 5, 100)
sigma = np.ones_like(x) * np.exp(0.01)
y = 0.5 * x + 1.0 + np.random.randn(len(x)) * sigma

def model(x, y):
    w = numpyro.sample("w", dist.Normal(0.0, 1.0))
    b = numpyro.sample("b", dist.Normal(0.0, 1.0))
    sigma = numpyro.sample("sigma", dist.LogNormal(0.0, 0.01))
    mu = w * x + b
    numpyro.deterministic("mu", mu)
    numpyro.sample("obs", dist.Normal(mu, sigma), obs=y)

Log-prior and log-likelihood

from numpyro_inferutils import build_logprob_functions

logprior, loglik = build_logprob_functions(model, model_args=(x, y))

theta = {
    "w": 0.0,
    "b": 1.2,
}

lp = logprior(theta)
ll = loglik(theta)
  • logprior(theta) sums log-probabilities from non-observed sample sites.
  • loglik(theta) sums log-probabilities from observed sample sites.
  • Contributions added via numpyro.factor are treated as part of the log-likelihood.

Constrained ↔ unconstrained parameters

from numpyro_inferutils.transforms import to_unconstrained_dict

params_constrained = {"sigma": 2.0}
params_unconstrained = to_unconstrained_dict(
    model, params_constrained, keys=["sigma"], x=x, y=y
)

This inspects the model’s sample-site supports and applies the appropriate inverse transforms using

biject_to(site["fn"].support)

MAP estimation via SVI

For many applications, it is useful to obtain a fast maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimate, for example as an initial point for NUTS.

import jax
from numpyro_inferutils import find_map_svi

rng_key = jax.random.PRNGKey(0)

p_map = find_map_svi(
    model,
    step_size=1e-2,
    num_steps=5_000,
    rng_key=rng_key,
    x=x,
    y=y,
)
  • The MAP estimate is obtained via stochastic variational inference (SVI) using a Laplace autoguide (AutoLaplaceApproximation).
  • Only a MAP-like point estimate (the guide median) is returned; the covariance of the Laplace approximation is intentionally not used.
  • Parameter constraints defined in the NumPyro model are handled automatically.
  • The returned parameters are in the constrained space.

Fisher information (independent Gaussian likelihood)

from numpyro_inferutils.fisher import information_from_model_independent_normal

info = information_from_model_independent_normal(
    model=model,
    pdic={"w": 1.0, "b": 0.5},
    mu_name="mu",
    observed=y,
    model_args=(x, y),
    keys=["w", "b"],
    sigma_sd=sigma,
)

F = info["fisher"]

The Fisher matrix for an independent Gaussian likelihood is computed as F = Jᵀ J, where J_ij = ∂r_i / ∂θ_j and r = (y − μ(θ)) / σ.

Both constrained and unconstrained parameterizations are supported. When the model mean is split across multiple deterministic sites, mu_name may also be given as a list or tuple. In that case, the corresponding mean vectors are flattened and concatenated before constructing the standardized residuals.

The same convention is supported for observed, obs_name, and sigma_sd: each may be passed either as one already-concatenated 1D array, or as a list/tuple matching the blocks in mu_name.

info = information_from_model_independent_normal(
    model=model,
    pdic={"w": 1.0, "b": 0.5},
    mu_name=["mu_flux", "mu_rv"],
    observed=[y_flux, y_rv],
    sigma_sd=[sigma_flux, sigma_rv],
    model_args=(x_flux, x_rv, y_flux, y_rv),
    keys=["w", "b"],
)

F = info["fisher"]

The final concatenated shapes of mu, observed, and sigma_sd must agree.


Hessian from a NumPyro model

from numpyro_inferutils.fisher import hessian_from_model

res = hessian_from_model(
    model=model,
    model_args=(x, y),
    pdic={"w": 1.0, "b": 0.5},
    keys=["w", "b"],
    which="logprob",              # or "loglik", "logprior"
    param_space="unconstrained",  # or "constrained"
)

H = res["hessian"]

This function computes the Hessian of a scalar objective constructed directly from a NumPyro model.

  • which="loglik" returns the Hessian of the log-likelihood.
  • which="logprior" returns the Hessian of the log-prior.
  • which="logprob" returns the Hessian of the full log-posterior up to an additive constant.

The returned matrix follows the parameter order specified by keys. As in the Fisher helper, array-valued parameters are flattened and concatenated in a stable order, and the result dictionary includes col_names and col_slices.

H = res["hessian"]
col_names = res["col_names"]

If you need the curvature of the negative log-posterior or the observed information matrix, use -H.

For an independent Gaussian likelihood with fixed standard deviations and a model mean that is linear in the parameters, -Hforwhich="loglik" agrees with the Fisher matrix returned by information_from_model_independent_normal(...).


License

MIT License.

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