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Phaethon-Asteroid: Frustrierte Systeme & Chimera-Zustände — GenesisAeon Package 35

Project description

phaethon-chimera

GenesisAeon Package DOI Whitepaper DESTINY+ Python 3.11+ License: MIT

GenesisAeon Package 35 — Phaethon-Asteroid: Frustrierte Systeme & Chimera-Zustände

UTAC-Modellierung von 3200 Phaethon als frustriertes Chimera-System. 47 quantitative Vorhersagen für die DESTINY+ JAXA-Mission (Flyby 2029).


Wissenschaftlicher Hintergrund

3200 Phaethon ist ein anomales Objekt — gleichzeitig Asteroid (deterministisch, Keplerbahn) und kometenähnlich (stochastischer Staubausstoß bei Perihel, Quelle der Geminiden).

Diese Frustration im UTAC-Kontext entsteht durch:

dH/dt = r·H·(1-H/K)·tanh(σΓ) + A·cos(ω_Phaethon·t)

Der periodische Term (Bahnfrequenz) konkurriert mit dem UTAC-Logistik-Term → Chimera-Zustand: Teil des Systems ist geordnet (Keplerbahn), Teil ist SOC (stochastische Aktivität bei Perihel).

CREP-Einordnung

System Γ Domäne
Amazon 0.116 Ökologie
Phaethon 0.165 Asteroidendynamik
AMOC 0.251 Ozeanographie
Neural 0.251 Neurowissenschaft

Phaethon liegt zwischen Amazon und AMOC — im mittleren kritischen Bereich.


Installation

pip install phaethon-chimera

Quickstart

uv sync
uv run pytest

# CLI
uv run phaethon run --n-orbits 10
uv run phaethon run --n-orbits 10 --destiny-predictions
uv run phaethon chimera-state
uv run phaethon destiny-report --format table

Kernklassen

Klasse Funktion
PhaethonChimera Diamond-Interface (run_cycle, CREP, UTAC, phase events)
FrustratedUTAC Frustrierte UTAC-ODE mit periodischem Forcing
ChimeraDetector Kuramoto-Ordnungsparameter R ∈ [0,1]
PhaethonOrbit Keplersche Bahn (JPL Horizons)
DustEmissionModel Stochastische Staubemission (Bernoulli + SOC)
SOCPhaethon Power-Law-Fit, Hurst-Exponent
GeminidModel Geminiden-Meteoritenstrom aus UTAC
DESTINY_PREDICTIONS Alle 47 falsifizierbaren Vorhersagen

47 DESTINY+ Vorhersagen (Auswahl)

# Größe Wert ± σ Einheit
1 Γ_phaethon 0.165 ± 0.02
6 Chimera R (Perihel) 0.50 ± 0.10
7 Chimera-Übergangsaltitude 2.3 ± 0.4 km
11 Emissionswahrscheinlichkeit/Orbit 0.23 ± 0.08
16 SOC τ-Exponent 1.3 ± 0.1
36 Geminid ZHR 120 ± 20 /hr
46 DESTINY+ Flyby 2029 ± 1 Jahr

Alle Vorhersagen sind vor dem DESTINY+ Flyby (2029) publiziert → falsifizierbar.

Repository-Struktur

src/phaethon_chimera/
├── system.py              # PhaethonChimera — Diamond interface
├── orbital.py             # Keplersche Bahn (JPL Horizons)
├── frustrated_utac.py     # Frustrierte UTAC-ODE + RK4
├── chimera_detector.py    # Kuramoto-Ordnungsparameter
├── dust_emission.py       # Stochastische Staubemission + SOC
├── soc_phaethon.py        # Power-Law-Fit, Hurst-Exponent
├── destiny_predictions.py # 47 DESTINY+-Vorhersagen
├── geminid_model.py       # Geminiden-Meteoritenstrom
├── benchmark.py           # Benchmark-Targets
├── cli.py                 # phaethon CLI
└── constants.py           # Physikalische Konstanten

data/
├── phaethon_orbital_elements.yaml
├── destiny_plus_targets.yaml
└── ztf_photometry_summary.yaml

Benchmark-Targets

BENCHMARK_TARGETS = {
    "gamma_phaethon":        (0.165, 0.020),
    "chimera_R_perihelion":  (0.500, 0.100),
    "soc_tau_exponent":      (1.300, 0.100),
    "emission_probability":  (0.230, 0.080),
    "geminid_zhr":           (120.0, 30.0),
    "n_destiny_predictions": (47.0,  0.0),
    "phi_cuberoot":          (1.17480502, 0.00001),
}

GENESIS-OS Registrierung

PACKAGE_REGISTRY[35] = {
    "name": "phaethon-chimera",
    "class": PhaethonChimera,
    "domain": "asteroid-dynamics",
    "scale": "solar-system",
    "zenodo": "10.5281/zenodo.17472834",
    "reference": "DESTINY+ 2024+"
}

Citation

DOI

@software{roemer_phaethon_chimera_2026,
  author    = {Römer, Johann},
  title     = {phaethon-chimera: Frustrated UTAC Systems \& Chimera States},
  version   = {1.0.0},
  publisher = {Zenodo},
  doi       = {10.5281/zenodo.17472834},
  year      = {2026},
  note      = {GenesisAeon Package 35, DESTINY+ predictions}
}

A new Zenodo DOI version will be assigned automatically on each future GitHub Release, once Zenodo–GitHub integration is enabled for this repo.

Verbindung zum GenesisAeon-Ökosystem

  • P31 (vrig-cosmological): v_RIG ≈ 1352 km/s normiert auf Phaethon-Orbitalgeschwindigkeit
  • P32 (beta-clustering): β-Cluster — Phaethon im astrophysikalischen Cluster (β ≈ 0.65–1.20)
  • P36 (sa-sv-duality): S_A/S_V-Entropiedualität der Phaethon-Trajektorie
  • P38 (phi-scaling): Φ^(1/3) ≈ 1.174 Skalierung zwischen Orbitaldynamik-Domänen

Zeitkritisch: DESTINY+ Flyby 2029 — alle Vorhersagen sind vor dem Flyby publiziert.


Johann Römer · MOR Research Collective · Mai 2026

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