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PhysMAP

Physics-aware credibility checks for AI surrogates in multiphysics simulation.

A surrogate trained on (Re, Pr) over the fully-developed region of a heated pipe is blind to x/D, the variable that actually governs the entrance region. So it fails there, confidently. And so does an input-based OOD detector, because it sees the same two columns the surrogate does — and in those two columns the entrance points look perfectly ordinary.

PhysMAP reads the bound variable from the test coordinates instead of from the surrogate's inputs, checks it against the closure relation's validated range, and knows at fit time whether that variable is structurally observable to the surrogate at all.

verdicts: {'REJECT': 45}
rationale: Prediction relies on gnielinski-1976 beyond its validated x_over_D bound
           (x_over_D >= 10); x_over_D is not a surrogate input (unobservable to
           input-based OOD detectors), and the literature (Tam & Ghajar 1998) reports
           divergence up to -63% past this bound. Input-based OOD detectors are silent
           because they cannot observe x_over_D.

No LLM is in any path. Every explanation is a deterministic rendered template.

Run it yourself: examples/naca_entrance_region.py.

Three checks, deliberately kept apart

These are different claims resting on different evidence. Conflating them is the specific error this project is built to avoid, so nothing here attributes the results of one to another.

Check Question Status
Closure validity Is this closure relation being applied outside the range it was calibrated on? Shipping
Surrogate observability Can the surrogate's inputs even represent the variable that governs the failure? Shipping
Causal materiality Is the out-of-range mechanism large enough to matter for the quantity of interest? Preview — method, plus one controlled stress test

What this release claims

This build is CAUSAL_PREVIEW. physmap.release.CURRENT_RELEASE_STATE says so, and the command-line surface is derived from that constant rather than from which files happen to be on disk — so an unfinished feature is an unrecognised command, never a runtime data-missing error.

The causal-materiality API is present: the ablation counterfactual, the applicability screen, the independence guard, and deterministic explanations. Its fixtures are synthetic or declarative — constructed inputs, or preconditions asserted from a case description. Beyond them, one controlled stress test runs the causal path on a real experiment (below) — a development demonstration on a single run, not an evaluation.

It makes no performance claim. No precision, recall or F1 is computed, reported or shipped anywhere in this package. A test parses the package and fails if one appears. The causal-materiality results presented in the NAFEMS Multiphysics 2026 abstract are not reproduced here: the original study's inputs are gone, and the basis for its experimental truth is unresolved. A reconstruction is under way under a locked protocol that fixes its rules before any rebuilt number is examined.

Because the original grid, truth source and counterfactual all change, the best outcome available to that reconstruction is independent corroboration of the causal finding — not reproduction of the published numbers. The protocol defines REPRODUCED and marks it unreachable, so the word cannot drift onto a weaker result. See protocols/.

A controlled model-reuse stress test: Lewis 35A

physmap stress-test lewis-reuse

The setup. The surrogate was trained for forced convection, where gravity did not vary and was not an input. It was then reused in vertical heated flow, where buoyancy became material. A mixed-convection surrogate designed for this regime should include Richardson number, Grashof number, or equivalent physical information — this test reuses one without it, on purpose.

The claim. PhysMAP detects when model reuse activates a physically relevant mechanism outside the surrogate's observable input space. An input-only OOD detector cannot identify a change absent from its input contract.

The input contract. Both the surrogate and the input-based OOD detector — the seven-vehicle benchmark's own, unchanged — receive Re, Pr and x_over_D. Neither receives gravity, Ri, Gr or heat flux. Every visible deployment input exactly matches a training input.

The result, same visible inputs, two physical states, on Lewis's (1992) vertical-tube experiment:

surrogate error input-based OOD scores PhysMAP materiality
gravity off — the accurate control within 0.06 % identical in both rows 0
gravity on — Lewis's measurement 17–18 % downstream identical in both rows up to 0.195

Identical OOD scores and zero-versus-0.195 materiality need no threshold. The flag threshold θ is not yet locked, so materiality is reported as numbers, and θ = 0.10 appears only as an illustration.

A secondary result shows specificity: when the visible operating point falls between training runs, the OOD detector warns in both the accurate and the inaccurate case — identically — while PhysMAP changes with the physical mechanism.

What it is not. Not a claim that OOD detectors fail in general — this one does exactly its job. Not a suggestion to leave gravity out. Not a claim about NVIDIA PhysicsNeMo, whose OOD and physics checks are distinct and were not run. One run, a development demonstration: its stations are not independent cases, and no precision, recall or F1 is computed.

The command recomputes everything from this checkout in a few minutes, asserts the exact input overlap and the unchanged OOD scores, and diffs itself against a committed bank — the same contract as physmap benchmark run, deliberately kept a separate command because this is a causal-materiality result. It recomputes from committed CFD-derived profiles and does not rerun OpenFOAM. Full record: docs/findings/lewis-ood-head-to-head.md. The NAFEMS talk package — figures, facts sheet, claims ledger, and a clean-clone reproduction record — is in docs/talk/.

The benchmark: seven vehicles, all rerunnable

physmap benchmark report     # all seven outcomes, each marked recomputed or banked
physmap benchmark run        # recomputes all seven from this checkout, diffs against the bank
physmap benchmark coverage   # what that subset does and does not cover

All seven vehicles ran, all seven outcomes are reported, and all seven now ship their source data.

physmap benchmark run recomputes all seven from this checkout and diffs the result against the committed matrix. Every field of every cell, not just the headline outcome. It exits non-zero if anything drifted, and never writes the bank it is checking itself against.

Floats are compared within 1e-9 relative, everything else exactly — and the distinction is load-bearing rather than a convenience. Every field that decides an outcome is an int or a string (counts, verdicts, outcome labels, observability classes), so the tolerance cannot absorb a real change. It exists because a clean-clone check on numpy 2.5 found dirker_water.observability_score differing from the banked value by one unit in the last place. A match that needed the tolerance is reported as such, not as "identical".

physmap benchmark report reads the bank without running anything, and says so — the report distinguishes a recomputed row from a banked one, and the counts are computed rather than written down, so they cannot quietly go stale.

Shipping is also not licensing. Two of the seven carry affirmative permission: naca_tn1451 (public domain) and velazquez_sco2 (CC BY 4.0). Five do not, and the registry and report label them rather than calling everything clear:

  • marineau_hypersonic_transition — no licence and no prohibition. Values transcribed from a published table in a publicly funded, public-release, government-hosted document.
  • forrest, casper_hypersonic_transition, dirker_water, jin_sco2_buoyancy — published against express publisher terms. AIAA prohibits using its content to develop machine-learning models; ASME and Elsevier require permission to reproduce, and Elsevier's licence forbids systematic redistribution. Risks accepted knowingly, not findings that the terms do not apply.

All five redistribute numbers only — no paper, figure or PDF, enforced by two audits — and all five are removed on objection. The full basis, including the arguments against, is in data/REDISTRIBUTION.md and NOTICE.

One dataset is published but not benchmark-grade. forrest's own header calls its values visual estimates for triage only, and its cell is degenerate — one training row, no detector fit — so its DO_NO_HARM outcome is short-circuited rather than earned. Being legal to publish and being fit to benchmark on are different questions; the registry tracks them on separate axes. physmap benchmark coverage prints it.

Install

pip install physmap

That gives you the library, the physmap command and the seed corpus. Python 3.10 or newer.

To run the benchmark, the Lewis stress test or the examples, install from a clone:

git clone https://github.com/cloudronin/physmap
cd physmap
pip install -e .

Their data lives in the repository, outside the package, on purpose — partly because of redistribution terms and partly because it is not runtime data. From a plain pip install physmap, those commands say so in one sentence and stop.

Optional extras: [jsonld] adds evidence export via uofa, [experiment] adds matplotlib for benchmark figures, [dev] adds the test tooling.

The corpus is open-core

The library is open. The calibration corpus is the commercial moat.

Published here is the seed: 15 closures with their validated bounds, plus a verdict-free index of 201 closures. The full 53-closure corpus is not published. The firewall is an allowlist, not a blacklist — an entry ships only if it is on the list, and every bound's provenance grading is replaced with seed.

The same firewall applies to the evidence corpus, so claims and sources cannot leak bounds for closures the seed withholds. It is derived deterministically by dev/tools/split_evidence_corpus.py, which has a --check mode that fails on drift.

Resolution order is $PHYSMAP_CORPUS → an installed premium package → the bundled seed. A premium holder drops the file in; no code changes.

Licences

Two, because the code and the data are different things.

NOTICE states which files fall under which, in one page.

The data licence is scoped, and the scope matters. It covers the curated corpus as authorship: the selection, structuring, regime mapping, bound assignment and provenance annotation. It does not cover numerical values digitised from third-party publications — those measurements were not made here, so no copyright in them is claimed. They are governed by their publishers' terms, by public-domain status, or are uncopyrightable facts, and each file records its own redistribution determination. A citation is attribution, not permission.

No source PDF is redistributed. Papers are cited, not copied.

Citing

CITATION.cff. Attribution is required by CC BY when you redistribute or build on the data.

Tests

pytest tests/ -q -n auto

Several tests guard failures whose symptom is a wrong answer rather than an exception: the closure index loading as empty, the corpus silently resolving to the wrong tier, the evidence corpus leaking a non-seed closure, and rdflib creeping back onto the import path through an unused import.

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