Skip to main content

polymarket-paper-trader

PyPI Tests ClawHub License: MIT

Your AI agent just became a Polymarket trader.

Install → your agent gets $10,000 paper money → trades real Polymarket order books → tracks P&L → competes on a public leaderboard. Zero risk. Real prices.

"My AI agent hit +18% ROI on Polymarket in one week. Zero risk, real order books."

Part of agent-next — building an agentic world.

60-second demo

npx clawhub install polymarket-paper-trader    # install via ClawHub
pm-trader init --balance 10000                 # $10k paper money
pm-trader markets search "bitcoin"             # find markets
pm-trader buy will-bitcoin-hit-100k yes 500    # buy $500 of YES
pm-trader stats --card                         # shareable stats card

That's it. Your AI agent is now trading Polymarket with zero risk.

Install

# via pip
pip install polymarket-paper-trader

# via ClawHub (for OpenClaw agents)
npx clawhub install polymarket-paper-trader

# from source (development)
uv pip install -e ".[dev]"

Requires Python 3.10+.

Not a toy — this is a real exchange simulator

Other tools mock prices or use random numbers. We simulate the actual exchange:

  • Level-by-level order book execution — your order walks the real Polymarket ask/bid book, consuming liquidity at each price level, just like a real trade
  • Exact fee model — bps/10000 × min(price, 1-price) × shares — the same formula Polymarket uses
  • Slippage tracking — every trade records how much worse your fill was vs the midpoint, in basis points
  • Limit order state machine — GTC (good-til-cancelled) and GTD (good-til-date) with full lifecycle
  • Strategy backtesting — replay your strategy against historical price snapshots
  • Multi-outcome markets — not just YES/NO binary, supports any number of outcomes

Your paper P&L would match real P&L within the spread. That's the point.

Quick start

# Initialize with $10k paper balance
pm-trader init --balance 10000

# Browse markets
pm-trader markets list --sort liquidity
pm-trader markets search "bitcoin"

# Trade
pm-trader buy will-bitcoin-hit-100k yes 100      # buy $100 of YES
pm-trader sell will-bitcoin-hit-100k yes 50       # sell 50 shares

# Check portfolio and P&L
pm-trader portfolio
pm-trader stats

CLI commands

Command Description
init [--balance N] Create paper trading account
balance Show cash, positions value, total P&L
reset --confirm Wipe all data
markets list [--limit N] [--sort volume|liquidity] Browse active markets
markets search QUERY Full-text market search
markets get SLUG Market details
price SLUG YES/NO midpoints and spread
book SLUG [--depth N] Order book snapshot
watch SLUG [SLUG...] [--outcome yes|no] Monitor live prices
buy SLUG OUTCOME AMOUNT [--type fok|fak] Buy at market price
sell SLUG OUTCOME SHARES [--type fok|fak] Sell at market price
portfolio Open positions with live prices
history [--limit N] Trade history
orders place SLUG OUTCOME SIDE AMOUNT PRICE Limit order
orders list Pending limit orders
orders cancel ID Cancel a limit order
orders check Fill limit orders if price crosses
stats [--card|--tweet|--plain] Win rate, ROI, profit, max drawdown
leaderboard Local account rankings
pk ACCOUNT_A ACCOUNT_B Battle: who's the better trader?
export trades [--format csv|json] Export trade history
export positions [--format csv|json] Export positions
benchmark run MODULE.FUNC Run a trading strategy
benchmark compare ACCT1 ACCT2 Compare account performance
benchmark pk STRAT_A STRAT_B Battle: who's the better trader?
accounts list List named accounts
accounts create NAME Create account for A/B testing
mcp Start MCP server (stdio transport)

Global flags: --data-dir PATH, --account NAME (or env vars PM_TRADER_DATA_DIR, PM_TRADER_ACCOUNT).

MCP server — what your agent can do

Your agent gets the following tools via the Model Context Protocol:

pm-trader-mcp  # starts on stdio

Add to your Claude Code config:

{
  "mcpServers": {
    "polymarket-paper-trader": {
      "command": "pm-trader-mcp"
    }
  }
}

MCP tools

Tool What it does
init_account Create paper account with starting balance
get_balance Cash, positions value, total P&L
reset_account Wipe all data and start fresh
search_markets Find markets by keyword
list_markets Browse markets sorted by volume/liquidity
get_tags All market categories/tags for filtering
get_markets_by_tag Markets in a specific category/tag
get_event Event details — a group of related markets
get_market Market details with outcomes and prices
get_order_book Live order book snapshot (bids + asks)
watch_prices Monitor prices for multiple markets
buy Buy shares at best available prices
sell Sell shares at best available prices
portfolio Open positions with live valuations and P&L
history Recent trade log with execution details
place_limit_order Limit order — stays open until filled or cancelled/expired
list_orders Pending limit orders
cancel_order Cancel a pending order
cancel_all_orders Cancel all pending limit orders at once
check_orders Execute pending orders against live prices
stats Win rate, ROI, profit, max drawdown
resolve Resolve a closed market (winners get $1/share)
resolve_all Resolve all closed markets
backtest Backtest a strategy against historical snapshots
stats_card Shareable stats card (tweet/markdown/plain)
share_content Platform-specific content (twitter/telegram/discord)
leaderboard_entry Generate verifiable leaderboard submission
leaderboard_card Top 10 ranking card from all local accounts
pk_card Head-to-head comparison between two accounts
pk_battle Run two strategies head-to-head, auto-compare

Strategy examples

Three ready-to-use strategies in examples/:

Momentum (examples/momentum.py)

Buys when YES price crosses above 0.55, takes profit at 0.70, stops loss at 0.35.

pm-trader benchmark run examples.momentum.run

Mean reversion (examples/mean_reversion.py)

Buys when YES price drops 12+ cents below 0.50 fair value, sells when it reverts.

pm-trader benchmark run examples.mean_reversion.run

Limit grid (examples/limit_grid.py)

Places a grid of limit buy orders below current price with take-profit sells above.

pm-trader benchmark run examples.limit_grid.run

Writing your own strategy

# my_strategy.py
from pm_trader.engine import Engine

def run(engine: Engine) -> None:
    """Your strategy receives a fully initialized Engine."""
    markets = engine.api.search_markets("crypto")
    for market in markets:
        if market.closed or market.yes_price < 0.3:
            continue
        engine.buy(market.slug, "yes", 100.0)
pm-trader benchmark run my_strategy.run

For backtesting with historical data:

def backtest_strategy(engine, snapshot, prices):
    """Called once per historical price snapshot."""
    if snapshot.midpoint > 0.6:
        engine.buy(snapshot.market_slug, snapshot.outcome, 50.0)

Multi-account support

Run parallel strategies with isolated accounts:

pm-trader --account aggressive init --balance 5000
pm-trader --account conservative init --balance 5000

pm-trader --account aggressive buy some-market yes 500
pm-trader --account conservative buy some-market yes 100

pm-trader benchmark compare aggressive conservative

Share your results

Generate a shareable stats card and post to X/Twitter:

pm-trader stats --tweet    # X/Twitter optimized
pm-trader stats --card     # markdown for Telegram/Discord
pm-trader stats --plain    # plain text

AI agents can use the stats_card MCP tool to generate and share cards automatically.

OpenClaw / ClawHub

Available on ClawHub as polymarket-paper-trader:

npx clawhub install polymarket-paper-trader

GitHub bot

Comment /oc or /opencode on an issue or PR. New issues get a triage reply; non-draft PRs get a shallow review. The public bot uses FreeInference (qwen3.6-35b) via a repo Actions secret — no wallet, no real trades. Sessions are not shared.

Tests

pytest -m "not live"             # unit + integration (skips live API tests)
pytest                           # full test suite (requires network)
pytest tests/test_e2e_live.py    # live API integration tests only

Also in this repository

The paper-trader is the product; two companion packages live alongside it.

Package Directory What it is
polymarket-benchmark benchmark/ LLM evaluation harness — "SWE-bench for decision intelligence". Scores models on prediction-market sets (Brier, calibration, alpha). Supports any litellm model and TypeSafe's Jev decision model.
polymarket-leaderboard-client leaderboard-client/ Client SDK for a compatible leaderboard server: register an agent, trade, read portfolio and stats.
pip install -e "benchmark[dev]"
cd benchmark && polymarket-benchmark run --model opencode/jev-1.13-free --market-set mini

See CONTRIBUTING.md for how to work on each package.

License

MIT

Release files for polymarket-paper-trader 0.2.0

For a detailed explanation of source distributions (sdists) and built distributions (wheels), please see the package formats documentation.

Source distribution (sdist)

Source distribution for polymarket-paper-trader 0.2.0
File Size Uploaded
polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0.tar.gz 96.5 kB Details

Built distribution (wheel)

Table of built distributions (wheels) for polymarket-paper-trader 0.2.0
File Interpreter ABI Platform
polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0-py3-none-any.whl Python 3 none any Details

Total release size: 143.5 kB

Release files / polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0.tar.gz

Download URL polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0.tar.gz
Size 96.5 kB
Tags Source
SHA-256 checksum
How to use checksums
f75d1b88b0dbfe5b6052aef5f4d9c5cffe399a083777c5f481e30f0c9f7a65ff
BLAKE2b-256 checksum
How to use checksums
ff151f3464b3aa113c822e8b349dfa62043383a0342450453497127588898165
Upload date
Uploaded using Trusted Publishing?
What is trusted publishing?
No
Uploaded via twine/6.1.0 CPython/3.13.7

Release files / polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0-py3-none-any.whl

Download URL polymarket_paper_trader-0.2.0-py3-none-any.whl
Size 47.0 kB
Tags Python 3
SHA-256 checksum
How to use checksums
c86d0f83cf33d222fbd5c1773a090ec37135e5d10595ddf88b67daac58a30ec2
BLAKE2b-256 checksum
How to use checksums
02086bb0ce892215714ef5f510291e3b09cc542d0cfc6951d7fe76e75efa2a00
Upload date
Uploaded using Trusted Publishing?
What is trusted publishing?
No
Uploaded via twine/6.1.0 CPython/3.13.7

Release history Release notifications | RSS feed

0.4.0

2 release files

0.3.4

2 release files

0.3.3

2 release files

0.3.2

2 release files

0.3.1

2 release files

0.3.0

2 release files

0.2.1

2 release files

This release

0.2.0 This release

2 release files

0.1.8

2 release files

0.1.7

2 release files

0.1.6

2 release files

0.1.5

2 release files

0.1.4

2 release files

Anthropic, PBC Visionary sponsor Bloomberg Visionary sponsor Hudson River Trading Visionary sponsor Meta Visionary sponsor NVIDIA Visionary sponsor Microsoft Sustainability sponsor Depot Continuous Integration AWS Cloud computing and Security Sponsor Datadog Monitoring Fastly CDN Google Download Analytics Sentry Error logging StatusPage Status page