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A simulation package for causal methods

Project description

DOI PyPI

PARCS: a Python Package for Causal Simulation

PA-rtially R-andomized C-ausal S-imulator is a simulation tool for causal methods. This library is designed to facilitate simulation study design and serve as a standard benchmarking tool for causal inference and discovery methods. PARCS generates simulation mechanisms based on causal DAGs and a wide range of adjustable parameters. Once the simulation setup is described via legible instructions and rules, PARCS automatically probes the space of all complying mechanisms and synthesizes data from both observational and interventional distributions. We encourage the causal inference researchers to utilize PARCS as a standard benchmarking tool for future works.

Funding statement: This project was funded by the Bavarian Ministry for Economic Affairs, Regional Development and Energy as part of a project to support the thematic development of the Institute for Cognitive Systems.

Cite this work: The supporting research paper for PARCS will be announced here soon for citation and reference.

NOTE: This project is under active development.

Installation

Installation is possible using pip:

pip install pyparcs

Get started (A bare minimum)

To simulate a causal DAG, describe the graph in a graph description file:

# === A causal Triangle: Treatment, Outcome, Confounder ===
# nodes
C: gaussian(mu_=0, sigma_=1)
A: gaussian(mu_=2C-1, sigma_=0.1C+1)
Y: gaussian(mu_=C+A-0.3AC, sigma_=2)
# edges
C->A: identity()
C->Y: identity()
A->Y: identity()

You can instantiate a graph object and sample from its observational and interventional distributions:

from pyparcs.cdag.graph_objects import Graph
from pyparcs.graph_builder.parsers import graph_file_parser
import numpy as np

nodes, edges = graph_file_parser('graph_description.yml')
g = Graph(nodes=nodes, edges=edges)
g.sample(size=5)
#           C         A         Y
# 0  1.500622  3.542066  3.928658
# 1  0.774417  2.115694  3.251244
# 2 -1.140551 -2.120171 -3.445699
# 3  0.590632  1.564428  0.109688
# 4 -0.652315 -2.649744 -6.378569

g.do(size=3, interventions={'A': 2.5})
#           C    A         Y
# 0 -1.047174  2.5  0.902704
# 1  0.099876  2.5  1.282226
# 2 -1.145309  2.5  3.391779

g.do_functional(size=3,
                intervene_on='Y', inputs=['A', 'C'],
                func=lambda a,c: (a+c)*10)
#           C         A          Y
# 0 -0.585768 -3.240235 -38.260031
# 1 -0.713663 -1.262177 -19.758394
# 2  1.925642  0.791920  27.175618

You can describe a graph partially and only up to a level:

C: gaussian(mu_=1, sigma_=1)
A: gaussian(mu_=?, sigma_=1) # mu_ parameter is not specified
Y: random # Y conditional distribution is not specified

C->A: identity()
C->Y: identity()
A->Y: identity()

and let PARCS randomize the free parameters according to a guideline:

nodes:
  bernoulli:
    p_: [ [f-range, 1, 2] , 0 , [f-range, 2, 3] ]
  gaussian:
    mu_: [ [f-range, -2, -1] , [f-range, 0.5, 1] , 0 ]
    sigma_: [ [f-range, 1, 3] , 0 , 0 ]
edges:
  identity: null

In this guideline, randomization ranges are specified (e.g. bias term for mu_ is sampled from the continuous uniform [-2, -1]).

from pyparcs.graph_builder.randomizer import ParamRandomizer

rndz = ParamRandomizer(
    graph_dir='graph_description_1.yml',
    guideline_dir='simple_guideline.yml'
)
nodes, edges = rndz.get_graph_params()

g = Graph(nodes=nodes, edges=edges)
g.sample(size=3)
#           C         A    Y
# 0  1.660388  0.410814  1.0
# 1  1.253973 -2.983480  0.0
# 2  1.088486 -0.167692  1.0

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