Trend Detection in Python. Applicable for real-world industry use cases in time series.
Project description
PyTrendy is a robust solution for identifying and analysing trends in time series. Unlike other trend detection packages, it is robust to noisy and flat segments, and handles gradual and abrupt trend cases with high precision. It aims to be the best package for trend detection in Python.
Read more in the documentation: russellsb.github.io/pytrendy/main
Why PyTrendy?
Most time series tools give you either a "trend component" (via decomposition) or "changepoints" (the moments of shift). PyTrendy is built for labelled segment analysis, answering what trends existed, how strong were they, and when did they start and end?
- Beyond step changes -
rupturesis the gold standard for abrupt shifts, but it doesn't handle gradual slope changes (digital marketing, stocks, energy). PyTrendy detects both in a single run. - The flat/noise problem - closest peers (
pytrendseries,trendet,tstrends) over-fit trends on flat or noisy periods. PyTrendy's signal-processing and post-processing logic ensures trends are only detected when they are precise and valid. - Strategic value - where dozens of time series interact, knowing how they align or confound at specific times is invaluable for experiment design.
Features
Quickstart
Install the package from PyPi.
pip install pytrendy
Import pytrendy, and apply trend detection on daily time series data.
import pytrendy as pt
df = pt.load_data('series_synthetic')
results = pt.detect_trends(df, date_col='date', value_col='gradual', plot=True)
results.print_summary()
Detected:
- 3 Uptrends.
- 3 Downtrends.
- 3 Flats.
- 0 Noise.
The best detected trend is Down between dates 2025-05-09 - 2025-06-17
Full Results:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
direction start end days total_change change_rank trend_class
time_index
1 Up 2025-01-02 2025-01-24 22 14.013348 5 gradual
2 Down 2025-01-25 2025-02-05 11 -13.564214 6 gradual
3 Flat 2025-02-06 2025-02-09 3 -1.168831 9 NaN
4 Up 2025-02-10 2025-03-14 32 24.632035 3 gradual
5 Flat 2025-03-15 2025-03-17 2 5.660173 7 NaN
6 Down 2025-03-18 2025-04-01 14 -22.721861 4 gradual
7 Up 2025-04-02 2025-05-08 36 72.611833 2 gradual
8 Down 2025-05-09 2025-06-17 39 -73.253968 1 gradual
9 Flat 2025-06-18 2025-06-30 12 3.910534 8 NaN
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Explore the strongest uptrends:
results.filter_segments(direction='Up', sort_by='change_rank')[:3]
| time_index | direction | start | end | trend_class | change | pct_change | days | total_change | SNR | change_rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Up | 2025-04-02 | 2025-05-08 | gradual | 72.61 | 367.50% | 36 | 72.61 | 21.70 | 2 |
| 4 | Up | 2025-02-10 | 2025-03-14 | gradual | 24.63 | 169.22% | 32 | 24.63 | 18.87 | 3 |
| 1 | Up | 2025-01-02 | 2025-01-24 | gradual | 14.01 | 104.41% | 22 | 14.01 | 22.21 | 5 |
filter_segments ranks segments by magnitude (change_rank). See the API reference for all filter and sort options.
For the full per-segment metrics table, use results.df.
For more examples on interpreting the results, see Detect Gradual Trends.
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