rdhonest 0.0.1

Honest inference in regression discontinuity designs

RDHonest - Python

Honest and efficient confidence intervals in regression discontinuity designs.

This is a Python port of the R package RDHonest by Michal Kolesár and Timothy B. Armstrong.

Installation

pip install rdhonest

Or install from source:

pip install -e .

Quick Start

import rdhonest as rdh
import numpy as np

# Load example data
lee08 = rdh.load_lee08()

# Sharp RD with uniform kernel
results = rdh.rd_honest(
    Y=lee08['voteshare'].values,
    X=lee08['margin'].values,
    cutoff=0,
    kern="uniform",
    M=0.1,
    h=10
)
print(results)

# Or use R-style formula interface
results = rdh.RDHonest(
    formula="voteshare ~ margin",
    data=lee08,
    cutoff=0,
    kern="triangular",
    M=0.1,
    h=10
)

Features

• Sharp and Fuzzy RD: Support for both sharp and fuzzy regression discontinuity designs
• Honest Inference: Bias-aware confidence intervals that are valid under smoothness assumptions
• Optimal Bandwidth Selection: MSE, FLCI, and OCI criteria
• Multiple Kernels: Triangular, Epanechnikov, Uniform, and Optimal kernels
• Smoothness Bounds: Estimate lower bounds on the smoothness constant M
• BME Class: Support for bounded misspecification error function class
• Clustering: Cluster-robust standard errors
• Covariates: Covariate adjustment support

Main Functions

rd_honest / RDHonest

Main function for honest inference in RD designs.

results = rdh.rd_honest(
    Y,              # Outcome variable
    X,              # Running variable
    cutoff=0,       # RD cutoff
    M=None,         # Smoothness constant (uses ROT if None)
    kern="triangular",  # Kernel type
    h=None,         # Bandwidth (optimal if None)
    opt_criterion="MSE",  # Bandwidth criterion
    se_method="nn", # SE estimation method
    alpha=0.05,     # Significance level
    sclass="H",     # Smoothness class: "H" (Holder) or "T" (Taylor)
)

rd_honest_bme / RDHonestBME

Honest CIs for discrete running variables under BME class.

cghs = rdh.load_cghs()
results = rdh.rd_honest_bme(
    Y=np.log(cghs['earnings'].values),
    X=cghs['yearat14'].values,
    cutoff=1947,
    h=3,
    order=1
)

cvb / CVb

Critical values for biased Gaussian estimators.

# 95% critical value with bias B=1
cv = rdh.cvb(B=1, alpha=0.05)

# Standard 95% critical value (no bias)
cv = rdh.cvb(B=0)

rd_scatter / RDScatter

Binned scatterplot for RD visualization.

import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

lee08 = rdh.load_lee08()
ax = rdh.rd_scatter(
    Y=lee08['voteshare'].values,
    X=lee08['margin'].values,
    cutoff=0,
    avg=50
)
plt.show()

Included Datasets

• load_lee08(): Lee (2008) US House elections
• load_cghs(): Oreopoulos (2006) UK general household survey
• load_rcp(): Battistin et al. (2009) retirement consumption puzzle
• load_headst(): Ludwig & Miller (2007) Head Start program
• load_rebp(): Lalive (2008) Austrian unemployment duration

References

• Armstrong, T.B. and Kolesár, M. (2018). Optimal inference in a class of regression models. Econometrica, 86(2):655-683.

• Armstrong, T.B. and Kolesár, M. (2020). Simple and honest confidence intervals in nonparametric regression. Quantitative Economics, 11(1):1-39.

• Kolesár, M. and Rothe, C. (2018). Inference in regression discontinuity designs with a discrete running variable. American Economic Review, 108(8):2277-2304.

License

GPL-3.0

Contributing

Contributions are welcome! Please feel free to submit a Pull Request.