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Package for fast regression

Project description

regressor

This is a small library that tries to run simple linear regression quickly on modern x86 hardware. This uses vectorized operations to speed up calculating dot products and means. The input numpy arrays need to be 1D with 32-bit floats.

As a result, this is ~20X faster than scipy.stats.linregress, but only runs on x86-64 hardware with AVX extensions (most desktops and servers as of 2020).

Install

pip install regressor

Usage

>>> import numpy as np
>>> from regressor import linregress
>>> x = np.array([1.0, 2.0, 3.0, 4.0, 5.0], dtype=np.float32)
>>> y = np.array([5.0, 4.0, 3.0, 2.0, 1.0], dtype=np.float32)
>>> linregress(x, y)
LinregressResult(slope=-1.0, intercept=6.0, rvalue=-1.0, pvalue=1.2e-30, stderr=0.0)

Performance

The graph below compares the times required for simple linear regressions between this package and scipy.stats.linregress, starting from arrays with 10 elements up to arrays with 100 million elements. This was run on a 2.6 GHz Skylake CPU. In general, this package performs simple linear regression in about 1/20th of the time required by scipy.stats.linregress.

Performance

Reliability

The regression results from this package match scipy.stats.linregress to within 4 decimal places (for the slope, intercept, r-value, p-value and standard error). The graphs below demonstrate this consistency by comparing betas, r-values and p-values from this package vs scipy.stats.linregress. These used randomly sampled values with varying correlation between the X and Y arrays to assess reliability across a wide range of P-values.

Reliability

I could only find one scenario where the behavior of this package differs from scipy.stats.linregress - when you regress a small array with itself, the p-value is naturally very small. When regressing again with itself incremented slightly (e.g. array + 1.2e-7), we expect the same slope and p-value, but the intercept should be shifted up by the incremented value. However, the p-value can diverge due to imprecision from float addition. scipy.stats.linregress is also affected by this, but to a lesser degree. The divergence only occurs with some input arrays of random numbers, about 55% of runs in my tests, depending on the input array size. Here's some code to demonstrate the issue:

>>> import numpy
>>> from scipy.stats import linregress
>>> from regressor import linregress as linreg2

>>> a = numpy.array([0.49789444, 0.12506859, 0.75386035, 0.025621228, 0.00039564757,
        0.71248668, 0.078348994, 0.62318009, 0.48770180], dtype=numpy.float32)
>>> b = numpy.copy(a)
>>> eps = numpy.finfo(numpy.float32).eps

>>> linreg2(a, b)
LinregressResult(slope=1.0, intercept=0.0, rvalue=1.0, pvalue=3.292585384803146e-70, stderr=0.0)
>>> linreg2(a, b + eps)
LinregressResult(slope=0.9999999999999959, intercept=9.271833784074701e-08, 
    rvalue=0.9999999999999959, pvalue=1.4627920285341798e-50, stderr=3.425878486341894e-08)

>>> linregress(a, b)
LinregressResult(slope=1.0, intercept=0.0, rvalue=1.0, pvalue=3.292585384803146e-70, stderr=0.0)
>>> linregress(a, b + eps)
LinregressResult(slope=1.0, intercept=1.1920928955078125e-07, rvalue=1.0, 
    pvalue=3.292585384803146e-70, stderr=0.0)

This behavior only occurs when the input arrays have at least 9 values (and becomes irrelevant with arrays with more than 50 values, since those have p < 1e-323). It only matters if the input values are perfectly correlated, even if one value differs slightly, then the results are very similar. Again, here's some code to demonstrate:

>>> b[0] += eps
>>> linreg2(a, b)
LinregressResult(slope=1.000000020527417, intercept=-7.537115487288304e-09, 
    rvalue=0.9999999999999909, pvalue=2.37040745003888e-49, stderr=5.100092205240057e-08)
>>> linreg2(a, b)
LinregressResult(slope=1.0000000205274189, intercept=2.2265206844895857e-08, 
    rvalue=0.9999999999999918, pvalue=1.6549532101768438e-49, stderr=4.844923917880737e-08)

Ignore the different intercepts, regressor or scipy.stats.linregress are both wrong, using multiples of eps slowly converged, but with jumpy steps.

I won't work around the larger issue, since it only alters the result when the regressed arrays are identical, but one has also been adjusted by adding a scalar to all entries. I can't see any scenario where this would occur other than on purpose.

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