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A python package for survival analysis

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SurPyval - Survival Analysis in Python

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Yet another Python survival analysis tool.

This is another pure python survival analysis tool so why was it needed? The intent of this package was to closely mimic the scipy API as close as possible with a simple .fit() method for any type of distribution (parametric or non-parametric); other survival analysis packages don't completely mimic that API. Further, there is currently (at the time of writing) no pacakage that can take an arbitrary comination of observed, censored, and truncated data. Finally, surpyval is unique in that it can be used with multiple parametric estimation methods. This allows for an analyst to determine a distribution for the parameters if another method fails. The parametric methods available are Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), Probability Plotting (MPP), Mean Square Error (MSE), Method of Moments (MOM), and Maximum Product of Spacing (MPS). Surpyval can, for each type of estimator, take the following types of input data:

Method Para/Non-Para Observed Censored Truncated
MLE Parametric Yes Yes Yes
MPP Parametric Yes Yes Limited
MSE Parametric Yes Yes Limited
MOM Parametric Yes No No
MPS Parametric Yes Yes No
Kaplan-Meier Non-Parametric Yes Right only Left only
Nelson-Aalen Non-Parametric Yes Right only Left only
Fleming-Harrington Non-Parametric Yes Right only Left only
Turnbull Non-Parametric Yes Yes Yes

SurPyval also offers many different distributions for users, and because of the flexible implementation adding new distributions is easy. Further, the power of SurPyval lay in the robust parameter estimation, as such, some distributions, those that are supported on the half real line, can be offset to make a three- or four-parameter version. The currently available distributions are:

Distribution Offsetable
Weibull Yes
Normal No
LogNormal Yes
Gamma Yes
Beta No
Beta (4 parameter) No
Uniform No
Exponential Yes
Exponentiated Weibull Yes
Gumbel No
Logistic No
LogLogistic Yes

This project spawned from a Reliaility Engineering project; due to the history of reliability engineers estimating parameters from a probability plot. SurPyval has continued this tradition to ensure that any parametric distribution can have the estimate plotted on a probability plot. These visualisations enable an analyst to get a sense of the goodness of fit of the parametric distribution with the non-parametric distribution.

The Model Landscape

SurPyval's models can be placed on a set of orthogonal axes. The table below cross-tabulates four of those axes — the time scale (continuous-time durations vs discrete-time trials), event recurrence, competing events, and covariates — against the estimation axis, and fills each cell with what can be used to implement it. The discrete-time models are single-event, not recurrent: Bernoulli is a single trial and Binomial is the sum of n such trials — neither is a recurrent-event process. A — marks a combination that is either not applicable (e.g. semiparametric estimation requires covariates) or not yet built.

Time Recurrence Events Covariates Parametric Semi-/Nonparametric
Continuous time Single event Single Without Weibull, Exponential, LogNormal, Gamma, … KaplanMeier, NelsonAalen, FlemingHarrington, Turnbull
Continuous time Single event Single With WeibullPH/WeibullAFT (PH/AFT/PO families) CoxPH
Continuous time Single event Competing Without CompetingRisks (CIF)
Continuous time Single event Competing With FineGray, CRPH
Continuous time Recurrent Single Without HPP, NHPP, CrowAMSAA, Duane, CoxLewis NonParametricCounting (MCF)
Continuous time Recurrent Single With ProportionalIntensityHPP, ProportionalIntensityNHPP
Continuous time Recurrent Competing Without CauseSpecificMCF
Continuous time Recurrent Competing With
Discrete time Single event Single Without Bernoulli (single trial), Binomial (n trials)
Discrete time Single event Single With use logistic / binomial regression (out of scope for this package)

Install and Quick Intro

SurPyval can be installed via pip using the PyPI repository

pip install surpyval

If you're familiar with survival analysis, and Weibull plotting, the following is a quick start.

from surpyval import Weibull
from surpyval.datasets import load_bofors_steel

# Fetch some data that comes with SurPyval
data = load_bofors_steel()

x = data['x']
n = data['n']

model = Weibull.fit(x=x, n=n, offset=True)
model.plot();

Weibull Data and Distribution

Documentation

SurPyval is well documented, and improving, at the main documentation.

Development

Dependencies

pip install -r requirements_dev.txt

Testing

Run the testing suite by simply executing:

pytest

or use coverage to get a coverage report:

coverage run -m pytest  # Run pytest under coverage's watch
coverage report         # Print coverage report
coverage html           # Make a html coverage report (really useful), open htmlcov/index.html

Pre-commit

  • Pip install pre-commit (it's in requirements_dev.txt anyways)
  • Run pre-commit install which sets up the git hook scripts
  • If you'd like, run pre-commit run --all-files to run the hooks on all files
  • When you go to commit, it will only proceed after all the hooks succeed

Contact

Email derryn if you want any features or to see how SurPyval can be used for you.

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