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tailestim

A Python package for estimating tail parameters of heavy-tailed distributions, which is useful for analyzing power-law behavior in complex networks.

:::INFO The original estimation implementations are from ivanvoitalov/tail-estimation. This is a wrapper package that provides a more convenient and modern interface and logging, that can be installed using pip and conda. :::

Features

  • Multiple estimation methods including Hill, Moments, Kernel, Pickands, and Smooth Hill estimators
  • Double-bootstrap procedure for optimal threshold selection
  • Built-in dataset loader for example networks
  • Support for custom network data analysis
  • Comprehensive parameter estimation and diagnostics

Installation

pip install tailestim

Quick Start

Using Built-in Datasets

from tailestim.datasets import TailData
from tailestim.estimator import TailEstimator

# Load a sample dataset
data = TailData(name='CAIDA_KONECT').data

# Initialize and fit the estimator
estimator = TailEstimator(method='hill')
estimator.fit(data)

# Get the estimated parameters
result = estimator.get_parameters()
gamma = result['gamma']

# Print full results
print(estimator)

Using degree sequence from networkx graphs

import networkx as nx
from tailestim.estimator import TailEstimator

# Create or load your network
G = nx.barabasi_albert_graph(10000, 2)
degree = list(dict(G.degree()).values()) # Degree sequence

# Initialize and fit the estimator
estimator = TailEstimator(method='hill')
estimator.fit(degree)

# Get the estimated parameters
result = estimator.get_parameters()
gamma = result['gamma']

# Print full results
print(estimator)

Available Methods

The package provides several methods for tail estimation:

  1. Hill Estimator (method='hill')

    • Classical Hill estimator with double-bootstrap for optimal threshold selection
    • Default method, generally recommended for power law analysis
  2. Moments Estimator (method='moments')

    • Moments-based estimation with double-bootstrap
    • More robust to certain types of deviations from pure power law
  3. Kernel-type Estimator (method='kernel')

    • Kernel-based estimation with double-bootstrap and bandwidth selection
    • Additional parameters: hsteps (int, default=200), alpha (float, default=0.6)
  4. Pickands Estimator (method='pickands')

    • Pickands-based estimation (no bootstrap)
    • Provides arrays of estimates across different thresholds
  5. Smooth Hill Estimator (method='smooth_hill')

    • Smoothed version of the Hill estimator (no bootstrap)
    • Additional parameter: r_smooth (int, default=2)

Results

The main parameters returned by the estimator include:

  • gamma: Power law exponent (γ = 1 + 1/ξ)
  • xi_star: Tail index (ξ)
  • k_star: Optimal order statistic
  • Bootstrap results (when applicable):
    • First and second bootstrap AMSE values
    • Optimal bandwidths or minimum AMSE fractions

Example Output

==================================================
Tail Estimation Results (Hill Method)
==================================================

Parameters:
--------------------
Optimal order statistic (k*): 6873
Tail index (ξ): 0.6191
Gamma (powerlaw exponent) (γ): 2.6151

Bootstrap Results:
--------------------
First bootstrap minimum AMSE fraction: 0.6899
Second bootstrap minimum AMSE fraction: 0.6901

Built-in Datasets

The package includes several example datasets:

  • CAIDA_KONECT
  • Libimseti_in_KONECT
  • Pareto

Load any example dataset using:

from tailestim.datasets import TailData
data = TailData(name='dataset_name').data

License

tailestim is distributed under the terms of the MIT license.

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