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Using a visual MAE for time series forecasting.

Project description

VisionTS

Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters

VisionTS VisionTS++ PyPI - Version AI horizon forecast 机器之心

🔍 About | 🚀 Quick Start | 📊 Evaluation | 🔗 Citation

🎉 What's New

  • 🔥 Aug 2025: We released VisionTS++, a SOTA time series foundation model by continual pretraining visual MAE on large-scale time series data, supporting multi-channel forecasting and probablistic forecasting!

  • May 2025: Our paper is accepted by ICML 2025!

  • Nov 2024: VisionTS achieved the #1 rank 🏆 for zero-shot point forecasting (MASE) on GIFT-EVAL (as of Nov 2024, surpassing Moirai, TimesFM, chronos, etc) — without any time series training!

🔍 About

  • We propose VisionTS, a time series forecasting (TSF) foundation model building from rich, high-quality natural images 🖼️.

    • This is conceptually different from the existing TSF foundation models (text-based 📝 or time series-based 📈), but it shows a comparable or even better performance without any adaptation on time series data.
  • We reformulate the TSF task as an image reconstruction task, which is further processed by a visual masked autoencoder (MAE).

🚀 Quick Start

We have uploaded our package to PyPI. Please first install pytorch, then running the following command for installing VisionTS:

pip install visionts

Then, you can refer to demo.ipynb about forecasting time series using VisionTS, with a clear visualization of the image reconstruction.

📊 Evaluation

Our repository is built on Time-Series-Library, MAE, and GluonTS. Please install the dependencies through requirements.txt before running the evaluation.

Long-Term TSF Benchmarks (Zero-Shot)

We evaluate our methods on 6 long-term TSF benchmarks for zero-shot forecasting. The scripts are under long_term_tsf/scripts/vision_ts_zeroshot. Before running, you should first follow the instructions of Time-Series-Library to download datasets into long_term_tsf/dataset. Using the following command for reproduction:

cd long_term_tsf/
bash scripts/vision_ts_zeroshot/$SOME_DATASET.sh

Monash (Zero-Shot)

We evaluate our methods on 29 Monash TSF benchmarks. You can use the following command for reproduction, where the benchmarks will be automatically downloaded.

cd eval_gluonts/
bash run_monash.sh

[!IMPORTANT] The results in the paper are evaluated based on python==3.8.18, torch==1.7.1, torchvision==0.8.2, and timm==0.3.2. Different versions may lead to slightly different performance.

PF (Zero-Shot)

We evaluate our methods on 6 long-term TSF benchmarks for zero-shot forecasting. Before running, you should first follow the instructions of Time-Series-Library to download datasets into long_term_tsf/dataset, in addition to the following three datasets:

You can use the following command for reproduction.

cd eval_gluonts/
bash run_pf.sh

Long-Term TSF Benchmarks (Full-Shot)

We evaluate our methods on 8 long-term TSF benchmarks for full-shot forecasting. The scripts are under long_term_tsf/scripts/vision_ts_fullshot. Using the following command for reproduction:

cd long_term_tsf/
bash scripts/vision_ts_fullshot/$SOME_DATASET.sh

🔗 Citation

@misc{chen2024visionts,
      title={VisionTS: Visual Masked Autoencoders Are Free-Lunch Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasters}, 
      author={Mouxiang Chen and Lefei Shen and Zhuo Li and Xiaoyun Joy Wang and Jianling Sun and Chenghao Liu},
      year={2024},
      eprint={2408.17253},
      archivePrefix={arXiv},
      url={https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.17253}, 
}

⭐ Star History

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