wardcliff 0.1.5

Multi-agent prediction market trading simulation

Wardcliff

Multi-agent prediction market trading simulation with real-time terminal streaming.

Wardcliff runs multiple AI trading agents that research and trade on prediction market events. Watch them think, research, and trade in real-time with a beautiful terminal dashboard.

Installation

Install with pip (Recommended)

pip install wardcliff

Install with pipx (Isolated Environment)

pipx install wardcliff

Install from Source

git clone https://github.com/yourorg/wardcliff.git
cd wardcliff
pip install -e .

After installation, the wardcliff command will be available globally in your terminal.

Quick Start

Run Your First Simulation

# Interactive mode - select event from menu
wardcliff run --interactive

# Run on a specific event
wardcliff run -e us-president-2028 -a 3

Commands

wardcliff run - Run a Trading Simulation

wardcliff run [OPTIONS]

Options:
  -e, --event TEXT          Event ID to trade
  -m, --multi-outcome       Use multi-outcome events
  -a, --agents INTEGER      Number of agents (default: 3)
  --model TEXT              Model to use
  -i, --interactive         Interactive setup mode
  --load-setup TEXT         Load setup from JSON file
  --save-setup TEXT         Save setup to JSON file
  --legacy                  Use legacy OpenAI agents
  --minimal                 Minimal one-line output
  -v, --verbose             Verbose output with full reasoning
  --debug                   Debug output with raw SDK messages

wardcliff events - List Available Events

wardcliff events                 # List all events
wardcliff events --multi-outcome # Show only multi-outcome events
wardcliff events --json          # Output as JSON

wardcliff sources - Manage Data Sources

wardcliff sources list                    # List all data sources
wardcliff sources list -e super-bowl-2026 # List sources for specific event
wardcliff sources add-url "https://..."   # Add URL to research
wardcliff sources add-doc "./report.pdf"  # Add document to ingest
wardcliff sources clear                   # Clear all sources

wardcliff mcp - Manage MCP Servers

wardcliff mcp list              # Show enabled servers
wardcliff mcp list --all        # Show all available servers
wardcliff mcp enable polymarket # Enable a server
wardcliff mcp disable twitter   # Disable a server

wardcliff analyze - Analyze Simulation Logs

wardcliff analyze logs/simulation.log          # Analyze log file
wardcliff analyze -o report.md --format md     # Output markdown report
wardcliff analyze --format json                # Output JSON

wardcliff version - Show Version Info

wardcliff version  # Show version and check dependencies

Display Modes

Default Dashboard (Rich UI)

The default mode shows a live-updating dashboard with:

• Market prices with change indicators
• Agent status and activity
• Recent trades
• Price alerts

Minimal Mode (--minimal)

One-line output per trade, suitable for scripting:

[14:32:15] Marcus BUY YES $500 @ $0.4521
[14:32:18] Luna SELL NO $250 @ $0.5479

Verbose Mode (--verbose)

Full reasoning traces from each agent.

Debug Mode (--debug)

Raw SDK messages for debugging.

Building from Source

Development Install

git clone https://github.com/yourorg/wardcliff.git
cd wardcliff
pip install -e ".[dev]"

Build Standalone Binary

# Install build dependencies
pip install -e ".[build]"

# Build binary
./scripts/build.sh

# Binary will be at dist/wardcliff
./dist/wardcliff --help

Running Tests

pip install -e ".[dev]"
pytest

Configuration

Environment Variables

Required:

• OPENAI_API_KEY - Required for OpenAI Agents SDK

Optional:

• DATABASE_URL - Database connection (default: SQLite)
• PARALLEL_API_KEY - For Parallel news monitoring

MCP Servers (21 local stdio via npx - set env var to enable):

Category	Server	Env Var
Markets	Polymarket	(always on)
	Alpha Vantage	ALPHAVANTAGE_API_KEY
	Twelve Data	TWELVEDATA_API_KEY
Research	Brave Search	BRAVE_API_KEY
	Tavily	TAVILY_API_KEY
Communication	Slack	SLACK_BOT_TOKEN + SLACK_TEAM_ID
	Gmail	GMAIL_CREDENTIALS
Knowledge	Notion	NOTION_TOKEN
	Google Drive	GOOGLE_CREDENTIALS
Project Mgmt	Linear	LINEAR_API_KEY
	Jira	JIRA_API_TOKEN + JIRA_EMAIL + JIRA_HOST
	Asana	ASANA_ACCESS_TOKEN
Development	GitHub	GITHUB_TOKEN
	Sentry	SENTRY_AUTH_TOKEN
CRM	HubSpot	HUBSPOT_ACCESS_TOKEN
Expense	Brex	BREX_API_KEY
	Ramp	RAMP_CLIENT_ID + RAMP_CLIENT_SECRET
Banking	Plaid	PLAID_CLIENT_ID + PLAID_SECRET
	Mercury	MERCURY_API_KEY
HR	BambooHR	BAMBOOHR_API_KEY + BAMBOOHR_SUBDOMAIN
Payroll	ADP	ADP_API_KEY

See src/cliff/integrations/mcp/external/github.py for full server list with sources.

Config Files

Wardcliff looks for configuration in:

• ~/.wardcliff/config.json - Global settings
• ~/.wardcliff/mcp.json - MCP server configuration
• ./.wardcliff.json - Project-specific settings

Available Events

Binary Events

• fed-rate-dec-2025 - Fed Rate Decision December 2025
• btc-150k-2025 - Bitcoin $150K in 2025

Multi-Outcome Events

• us-president-2028 - US President 2028
• super-bowl-2026 - Super Bowl LX Winner 2026
• ai-agi-2030 - AGI by 2030
• next-fed-chair-2026 - Next Fed Chair 2026

Architecture

src/cliff/
├── cli/           # Typer CLI commands
├── core/          # Market engine, events, metrics
├── agents/        # OpenAI Agents SDK trading agents
├── simulation/    # Controller and orchestration
├── streaming/     # Real-time event streaming
└── infrastructure/# Database, config, logging

License

MIT License