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xrtm-data v0.5.0

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The Snapshot Vault for XRTM.

xrtm-data provides the schemas, question sources, and temporal sandboxing for the XRTM forecasting ecosystem.

Installation

pip install xrtm-data

Schemas

  • ForecastQuestion — Standardized forecast question input
  • ForecastOutput (alias ForecastResult) — Forecast result with probability, reasoning trace, causal graph
  • CausalNode / CausalEdge / CausalGraph — Reasoning chain DAG
  • BetaPrior / PriorState — Beta distribution for belief states
  • TradeEvent / TradeWindow — Market trade data with temporal integrity

Question Sources

Source API Key Description
real-binary None 21 embedded historical binary questions (CI fixture)
Polymarket None (public) Live prediction market data via Gamma API
Metaculus Free account Forecasting questions from Metaculus
from xrtm.data.corpora import load_real_binary_questions
from xrtm.data.providers.online import PolymarketSource, MetaculusSource

# Built-in corpus


questions = load_real_binary_questions(limit=5)

# Live prediction markets (no API key)
poly = PolymarketSource()
markets = await poly.fetch_questions(limit=10)

# Metaculus (needs METACULUS_API_KEY)
meta = MetaculusSource()
meta_qs = await meta.fetch_questions(limit=10)

License

Apache 2.0

Metadata

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