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xrtm-forecast v0.7.0

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License Python

The Runtime Engine for XRTM.

xrtm-forecast provides the agents, providers, topologies, and orchestration to build AI forecasting systems. It's a composable framework — import the pieces you need and wire them together.

Installation

pip install xrtm-forecast

Quick Start

from xrtm.forecast.kit.agents.specialists.analyst import ForecastingAnalyst
from xrtm.forecast.core.config.inference import OpenAIConfig
from xrtm.forecast.providers.inference.factory import ModelFactory

# Use any OpenAI-compatible endpoint


config = OpenAIConfig(
    model_id="your-model",
    base_url="$OPENAI_BASE_URL",
    api_key="your-api-key",
)
provider = ModelFactory.get_provider(config)
analyst = ForecastingAnalyst(model=provider, name="forecaster")

# Ask a forecasting question
from xrtm.data import ForecastQuestion
question = ForecastQuestion(
    id="fed-march-2025",
    title="Will the Fed raise rates in March 2025?",
)
forecast = await analyst.run(question)
print(f"Probability: {forecast.probability:.2f}")

What's Included

OpenAI-compatible Provider

One provider that works with any OpenAI-compatible API: any OpenAI-compatible endpoint. Set base_url to point anywhere.

Agents

  • ForecastingAnalyst — Full forecast agent: structured prompts, causal reasoning traces, JSON output parsing
  • LLMAgent — Base agent with tool retrieval, output parsing
  • RoutingAgent — FAST/SMART tiered routing for cost optimization
  • ToolAgent / GraphAgent — Wrap functions or sub-graphs as agents

Topologies

Composable multi-agent patterns in kit/topologies/:

  • RecursiveConsensus — Parallel analysts → aggregate → supervisor → loop
  • create_debate_graph() — Pro/Con/Judge debate pattern
  • create_fanout_graph() — Parallel workers → aggregator

Orchestration

  • Orchestrator — DAG state machine for workflow graphs
  • AsyncRuntime — Chronos-aware async runtime

Infrastructure

  • InferenceCache — SQLite cache for LLM responses (enabled by default)
  • Retry with backoff — 2 retries on API errors
  • LeakageGuardian — Temporal leakage prevention for backtests

XRTM Ecosystem

Part of the XRTM forecasting stack:

Package Role Version
xrtm-data Schemas & question sources 0.3.0
xrtm-eval Scoring (Brier, ECE, LogScore) 0.3.0
xrtm-forecast Runtime engine (this package) 0.7.0
xrtm-train Backtesting & optimization 0.3.0
xrtm Product CLI 0.9.0

License

Apache 2.0

Metadata

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