ainpp-pb-latam 1.0.0b4

The Artificial Intelligence for Nowcasting Pilot Project - Precipitation Benchmark for Latin America (AINPP-PB-LATAM).

AINPP Precipitation Benchmark

Unified scientific benchmark library for precipitation nowcasting in Latin America using deep learning on high-performance computing (HPC) environments.

Developers

• Adriano P. Almeida
  National Institute for Space Research (INPE/Brazil)
  [e-mail]

• Alan J. P. Calheiros
  National Institute for Space Research (INPE/Brazil)
  [e-mail]

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This benchmark is developed and maintained by a team focused on scientific machine learning, reproducible evaluation, and scalable HPC workflows for precipitation nowcasting in Latin America. Its goal is not to deliver a single optimized forecasting solution, but to provide a flexible framework for developing and evaluating regionally adapted models. By enabling systematic comparison of methods, it supports incremental improvements and contributes to more reliable predictions in regions of interest. The benchmark is open to the community, and feedback or contributions are welcome.

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Key Features

• Extensive Model Zoo: AFNO, ConvLSTM, GAN, InceptionV4, ResNet50, UNet, and Xception.
• Scalable HPC Training: Built-in support for Single GPU, Multi-GPU (Distributed Data Parallel), and Multi-Node clusters.
• Standardized Data Formats: Optimized data loading and processing utilizing Zarr archives with daily/hourly grid matrices.
• Config-Driven Architecture: Fully modular, parameterized via Hydra to completely decouple code from experiments.
• Metrics & Evaluation: Three-pronged evaluation module covering Spatial, Continuous, and Probabilistic metrics.

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🛠 Tech Stack

• Language: Python 3.10+
• Deep Learning: PyTorch, Torchvision, TIMM
• Experiment Tracking: MLflow
• Configuration: Hydra, OmegaConf
• Data Processing: Zarr, Xarray, Dask, Pandas, Numpy
• Metrics & Science: Scikit-Learn, SciPy
• Package Manager: uv

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Prerequisites

• Python 3.10 or higher.
• NVIDIA GPUs available (CUDA environment) for practical training and evaluation.
• uv installed on the system (a blazing-fast Python package installer and resolver).

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Getting Started

1. Clone the Repository

git clone [e-mail]:SInApSE-INPE/AINPP-PB-LATAM.git
cd AINPP-PB-LATAM

2. Set Up the Environment

The project relies on uv to maintain its isolated environment. Create a virtual environment:

uv venv

Activate the environment:

# On Linux/macOS
source .venv/bin/activate

3. Install Dependencies

CRITICAL: The package must always be installed in editable mode (-e) using uv. Do not use sys.path hacks in your experiments.

# Install the core package along with dev and docs dependencies
uv pip install -e .[dev,docs]

4. Verify Installation

You can check if the CLI is ready and Hydra configuration is locatable:

python main.py --help

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Architecture Overview

Data Constraints & Design

The benchmark operates under strict spatio-temporal properties tailored for the Brazilian/Latin-American precipitation models:

• Base Format: .zarr file stores.
• Data Splits:
  • train: 2018 to 2022
  • validation: 2023
  • test: 2024
• Structural Properties:
  • Matrices of 880 x 970 spatial grids.
  • Hourly granularity.
• Temporal Configuration:
  • Input: 12 consecutive hours originating from gsmap_nrt.
  • Target (Prediction): 6 consecutive hours pointing to gsmap_mvk.
• Training Strategies: Models can be trained using either an Autoregressive (predict 1 step, feed-back, repeat) or Direct (predict all 6 steps at once) approach.

Directory Structure

├── conf/                     # Hydra configuration YAMLs
│   ├── config.yaml           # Root configuration
│   ├── dataset/              # Dataloader & data path configs
│   ├── discriminator/        # GAN discriminators (e.g. patchgan)
│   ├── evaluation/           # Evaluation metric definitions
│   ├── loss/                 # Loss functions (e.g., mse, ssim)
│   ├── model/                # Architecture configurations (unet, afno, etc.)
│   ├── training/             # Optimizer, lr scheduler, epochs
│   └── visualization/        # Plotting parameters
├── docs/                     # MkDocs documentation
├── scripts/                  # Utilities (legacy running blocks, bash scripts)
│   ├── check_all.sh          # Full quality-gate workflow
│   └── enforce_coverage.py   # Coverage tools
├── src/
│   └── ainpp_pb_latam/                # Core Python package
│       ├── datasets/         # Zarr loading and sampling logic
│       ├── evaluation/       # Orchestration & benchmark metric calculators applied per threshold/lead_time
│       ├── metrics/          # Pure mathematical calculations agnostic of batch/dataset
│       ├── aggregation/      # Statistical grouping and Tidy dataframe formatting (CSV/Parquet)
│       ├── visualization/    # Handlers for model output plotting (Curves, Diagrams, Maps)
│       ├── inference/        # Unified inference engine for single/historical predictions
│       ├── layers/           # Reusable neural network layers
│       ├── models/           # Model Zoo definitions (UNet, ResNet, etc.)
│       ├── distributed.py    # DDP sync rules for Multi-Node
│       ├── engine.py         # Standard training loops
│       ├── engine_gan.py     # specialized loops for GAN-based setups
│       ├── losses.py         # Specialized precipitation loss implementations
│       └── utils.py          # Object builders (Loss, Optimizer)
├── tests/                    # Pytest suite
├── main.py                   # Unified CLI Entry point
├── pyproject.toml            # Build system definitions
└── uv.lock                   # Deterministic python dependency tree

Evaluation & Metrics Workflow

The library features rigorously separated pipelines for scientific benchmark evaluation. The architecture divides concerns as follows:

1. metrics/: Computes pure mathematical metrics. Subdivided into 6 categories based on standard precipitation forecasting properties:
   • Categorical (POD, FAR, CSI, ETS, FSS)
   • Continuous (MAE, RMSE, ME, Pearson Correlation)
   • Probabilistic (Brier Score, ROC-AUC, CRPS)
   • Object-Based (Object CSI, centroid distance for convective cells)
   • Sharpness / Blur (SSIM, Total Variation, PSD)
   • Consistency (Wasserstein distance, Exceedance curves)
2. evaluation/: Orchestrates and maps the raw output target against the thresholds (mm/h) and temporal prediction horizons (lead_time).
3. aggregation/: Consolidates statistical properties from the evaluation bounds and builds Tidy long dataframes exportable to both CSV and Parquet.
4. visualization/: Generates diagnostic visual figures over the aggregated benchmark sets directly into the outputs/figures directories. Supported plots are:
   • Error & Lead Time continuous curves
   • Performance and Taylor Diagrams
   • Model Ranking grids and Heatmaps
   • CDFs, Histogram Distribution mapping and Spatiotemporal spectral visuals.

Using the Evaluation Modules

The benchmark evaluation generates metrics and plots automatically, but gives you total control via the CLI or Python API.

Running standard evaluation

Execute the unified evaluation over your best model checkpoint:

python main.py task=evaluate checkpoint=outputs/pipelines/unet_direct/checkpoints/best_model.pt

Customizing parameters via Hydra

Overwrite constraints seamlessly to test custom thresholds (e.g., severe storms) or ignore specific modules to speed up processing:

python main.py task=evaluate \
  model=unet/direct \
  checkpoint=outputs/my_model.pt \
  +evaluation.thresholds_mm_h=[5.0, 10.0, 25.0] \
  +evaluation.lead_times_min=[10, 30, 60] \
  +evaluation.probabilistic=false \  # Turn off probabilistic evaluation
  +visualization.output_dir=/custom/plot/path

Calling metrics and visualization dynamically

You can utilize the highly optimized standalone packages on your custom prediction loops or notebooks without the Hydra wrapper:

import numpy as np
from ainpp_pb_latam.metrics.continuous import ContinuousMetrics
from ainpp_pb_latam.metrics.categorical import CategoricalMetrics
from ainpp_pb_latam.visualization.plot_maps import plot_comparison

target_map = np.random.rand(256, 256) * 15 # Synthetic observed mm/h
pred_map = target_map * 0.8 + np.random.rand(256, 256) # Synthetic predicted mm/h

# 1. Compute Math metrics agnostic to thresholds
cont_metrics = ContinuousMetrics.compute(pred_map, target_map)
print(f"RMSE: {cont_metrics['RMSE']:.2f}")

# 2. Compute Categorical metrics for heavy rain (> 10mm/h)
cat_metrics = CategoricalMetrics.compute(pred_map, target_map, threshold=10.0)
print(f"CSI (Threat Score): {cat_metrics['CSI']}")

# 3. Export sharp comparison maps
plot_comparison(
    target=target_map, 
    prediction=pred_map, 
    output_path="comparison_maps.png", 
    title="Heavy Rain Analysis"
)

Request Lifecycle

1. You run python main.py task=<TASK_TYPE>.
2. Hydra merges conf/config.yaml with the sub-dictionaries provided (loss, models, training parameters) and command-line overrides.
3. Depending on the task (train, evaluate, infer):
   • Initializes the Zarr Datasets via ainpp_pb_latam.datasets.
   • Compiles the Model defined in conf/model/ and ships it to GPU (or configures DistributedDataParallel).
   • Hooks into ainpp_pb_latam.engine, ainpp_pb_latam.evaluation or ainpp_pb_latam.inference and streams data until completion.

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Configuration via Hydra

This project delegates all configurations (hyperparameters, variables, dataset paths, training parameters) to Hydra. We do not use argparse or .env files for architecture controls.

Modifying Parameters

You can override any parameter on the command line using the simple .yaml trajectory:

# Change the learning rate and batch size for a training run:
python main.py task=train training.lr=0.0005 dataset.train_loader.batch_size=32

# Change the model to an AFNO and loss to a Hybrid scheme:
python main.py task=train model=afno loss=hybrid_mse_ssim

Understanding Loss Functions

We provide specialized loss functions designed for high-intensity precipitation tasks:

• Pixel-wise: WeightedMSE (penalizes heavy rain errors), LogCosh, HuberLoss.
• Structural: SSIMLoss (anti-blurring), SpectralLoss, PerceptualLoss (Feature MSE).
• Hybrid: HybridLoss (configurable weighted summation).

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Available Commands

Run any stage via main.py.

Command	Description
python main.py task=train	Kickoff training. By default outputs runs to ./outputs/<date>/<time>.
python main.py task=evaluate checkpoint=/path/to/my_model.pt	Run spatial, continuous, and probabilistic metric validation on the held-out test data.
python main.py task=infer inference.mode=single checkpoint=/my_model.pt	Run prediction for a single isolated sample and output locally formatted as .nc (NetCDF) or .pt.
python main.py task=infer inference.mode=historical checkpoint=/my_model.pt	Run bulk batch-by-batch predictions on the whole temporal set via Dataloader, saving cleanly optimized to a Zarr Store.
./scripts/check_all.sh	Run all Linters, typecheck, and coverage reports at once.
mkdocs serve	Host documentation locally mimicking github pages structure.

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Testing

Quality assurance is mandated globally via the Makefile/Shell scripts. We rely on pytest, coverage, black, isort, and mypy.

Running Tests

# Run all automated tests (Minitest equivalent in Python)
pytest tests/

# Run tests with coverage map pointing at src/ainpp_pb_latam
pytest --cov=src/ainpp_pb_latam tests/

# Shortcut for linting, typing and testing standardly
./scripts/check_all.sh

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Training and Deployment in HPC Workspace

The framework utilizes torch.distributed and is meant to be run transparently on massive multi-GPU or multi-Node bounds.

Single Node, Multi GPU Deployment

Run the process under torchrun and declare how many GPUs to map per node:

# Running DDP with 4 GPUs
torchrun --nproc_per_node=4 main.py task=train dataset.train_loader.batch_size=16

(Variables are aggregated per-batch across GPUs, keeping the effective batch-size as GPUs * node_batch_size).

Compute / Checkpointing Rules

• Early Stopping: Models monitor validation loss. If improvement ceases before parameter patience, training terminates.
• Checkpointing: Every epoch emits a checkpoint, defaulting the minimum validation loss state to best_model.pt.

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Troubleshooting

ImportErrors on ainpp_pb_latam.*

Error: ModuleNotFoundError: No module named 'ainpp_pb_latam' Solution: Ensure you actually installed the package into the current uv environment via the editable command.

uv pip install -e .

CUDA out of memory

Error: torch.cuda.OutOfMemoryError / CUDA out of memory. Solution: Drop the batch size or hidden dimensions through Hydra.

python main.py task=train dataset.train_loader.batch_size=4 model.hidden_channels=[16,16,16]

Deadlocks in DistributedDataParallel

Error: The system freezes on epoch conclusion or validation phases. Solution: DDP often hangs if the dataset isn't perfectly sliced, or if evaluation metrics attempt to reduce uneven tensors. Try lowering the number of workers per dataloader using system.num_workers=0 for debug traces.

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank the National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, processes 438310/2018-7, 141451/2021-1 and 444205/2024-1), the Brazilian Federal Agency for Support and Evaluation of Higher Education (CAPES), the National Institute for Space Research (INPE) and the Brazilian Space Agency (AEB) of the Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI) for their financial support. The project was supported by the \textit{Laboratório Nacional de Computação Científica} (LNCC, MCTI/Brazil) through the resources of the Santos Dumont supercomputer in the projects IDeepS and CPTEC. This work was also supported by the 4th Research Announcement on the Earth Observations of the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) (ER4GPN102) and World Meteorological Organization (WMO).

License

This architecture operates under an MIT open-source license.

Citation

If you use this benchmark in your research, please cite the following paper:

@article{almeida2026regional,
  author  = {Almeida, Adriano P. and Barbosa, Henrique M. J. and Garcia, S{\^a}mia R. and Gagne, David J. and Zhou, Kanghui and Kubota, Takuji and Ushio, Tomoo and Otsuka, Shigenori and Pfreundschuh, Simon and Calheiros, Alan J. P.},
  title   = {A Regional Benchmark for Deep Learning-Based Hourly Precipitation Nowcasting in Latin America},
  journal = {IEEE Access},
  year    = {2026},
  volume  = {PP},
  number  = {99},
  pages   = {1--1},
  doi     = {10.1109/ACCESS.2026.3670767}
}