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Estimation of BDEISS-CT parameters from phylogenetic trees.

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bdext

The bdext package provides scripts to train and assess Deep-Learning-enables estimators of BD(EI)(SS)(CT) model parameters from phylogenetic trees

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BDEISS-CT model

The Birth-Death (BD) Exposed-Infectious (EI) with SuperSpreading (SS) and Contact-Tracing (CT) model (BDEISS-CT) can be described with the following 8 parameters:

  • average reproduction number R;
  • average total infection duration d;
  • incubation period dinc;
  • sampling probability ρ;
  • fraction of superspreaders fS;
  • super-spreading transmission increase XS;
  • contact tracing probability υ;
  • contact-traced removal speed up XC.

Setting dinc=0 removes incubation (EI), setting fS=0 removes superspreading (SS), while setting υ=0 removes contact-tracing (CT).

For identifiability, we require the sampling probability ρ to be given by the user. The other parameters are estimated from a time-scaled phylogenetic tree.

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