manifoldbot 0.1.1

A self-contained Python module for creating intelligent trading bots that monitor data sources, analyze content with ChatGPT, and automatically trade on Manifold Markets

ManifoldBot

A Python package for creating intelligent trading bots for Manifold Markets.

Quick Start

1. Installation

pip install manifoldbot

2. Set API Keys

export MANIFOLD_API_KEY="your_manifold_api_key"
export OPENAI_API_KEY="your_openai_key"

3. Run the LLM Trading Bot

Trade all markets with AI:

python -m manifoldbot.examples.bot.llm_trading_bot --all

Or trade recent markets only:

python -m manifoldbot.examples.bot.llm_trading_bot

What It Does

The LLM trading bot:

• Analyzes market questions using GPT
• Compares AI probability vs current market probability
• Places bets when there's a significant difference (≥5%)
• Only bets when confidence is high (≥60%)

More Examples

See manifoldbot/examples/ for additional examples:

• manifold/basic_reader.py - Read market data (no API key needed)
• manifold/basic_writer.py - Place bets manually
• bot/ai_optimist_trading_bot.py - Simple rule-based bot

Documentation

• Full Documentation
• Tutorial
• API Reference

License

MIT License - see LICENSE file for details.