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Peter Cotton

Username    microprediction
Date joined   Joined

60 projects

skaters

Last released

Fast univariate time series models that run in Pyodide

manifoldbot

Last released

A comprehensive Python package for creating intelligent trading bots that interact with Manifold Markets

birdgame

Last released

Utilities to help play the Bird Game at crunchdao.com

densitypdf

Last released

Evaluation of probability density functions

goodgleif

Last released

Lightweight tools for working with GLEIF LEI data: preprocess, load, fuzzy query.

entityidentity

Last released

Ontology / Entity Resolution

density

Last released

Specifications of parametric density functions

herding

Last released

Kernel herding

bonding

Last released

Bonding curves and market makers derived from the same

precise

Last released

The home of Schur Hierarchical Portfolios: an aesthetically pleasing version of Hierarchical Risk Parity

randomcov

Last released

Random covariance generation

midone

Last released

Online autonomous time series prediction of near martingales

midplot

Last released

Plotting margingales

swarmprediction

Last released

Ensembles for prediction powered by agentic systems

endersgame

Last released

Online autonomous time series prediction of near martingales

monteprediction

Last released

A Weekly Monte Carlo Game

csvsdataset

Last released

Memory frugal torch dataset from a csv collection

simplecsvdataset

Last released

Torch dataset construction from CSV collections

microprediction

Last released

Client for www.microprediction.org turnkey community prediction

gptprobe

Last released

Probing chatgpt

chattychattybangbang

Last released

chat utilities

humpday

Last released

Taking the pain out of choosing a Python global optimizer

winning

Last released

Fast ability inference from contest winning probabilities

qpsolversbench

Last released

Evaluation of quadratic solvers using qpsolvers

rediz

Last released

Powering community nowcasts at www.microprediction.org

yahoofinanceasyncio

Last released

Yahoo prices

timemachines

Last released

Evaluation and standardization of autonomous time series prediction

microconventions

Last released

Conventions used at MicroPrediction.Org

getjson

Last released

Request JSON data en masse with backoff and failover

momentum

Last released

Running estimates of moments

runthis

Last released

Micro-utility for staying organized running experiments

realdata

Last released

Get real univariate time series data easily for testing

muid

Last released

Memorable Unique Identifier

recalibrate

Last released

Because everybody gets probabilities wrong

threeza

Last released

Lottery like mechanisms for crowd-sourcing

m6

Last released

Utilities for M6 Financial Forecasting Competition

punting

Last released

Basic racing related utilities

successor

Last released

Predict the next number in a sequence, or the next k

ratings

Last released

contests

concealment

Last released

privacy preservation for machine learning

autotds

Last released

Generate Towards Data Science (TDS) quality articles

prophet-critique

Last released

Article list for Facebook prophet evaluation

m12

Last released

Template

odious

Last released

Optimizer comparisons

optimizer-ratings

Last released

Compares performance of optimizers used for time series model hyper-param optimization

tuneup

Last released

Global optimizer comparison and combination

embarrassingly

Last released

Pimp your objective function for faster, robust optimization

echochamber

Last released

Using an Echo State Network to crawl Microprediction.Org

predictionserver

Last released

Powering community nowcasts at www.microprediction.org

pandemic

Last released

Orstein-Uhlenbeck pandemic simulation

microfilter

Last released

Filtering noisy data

microstate

Last released

Experimental standalone state storage service for crawlers at www.microprediction.org

microcrawler

Last released

Helping algorithms find problems at www.microprediction.org

badminton

Last released

Badminton data

helicopter

Last released

Linking SciML Julia helicopter challenge to Microprediction.Org

homogenize

Last released

Survivial probability estimator for Regime Switching Orstein-Uhlenbeck triply stochastic process

colliderfeed

Last released

Data feed for Intech Supercollider contest

threezaconventions

Last released

Minimalist conventions used at www.3za.org

intechinvestments

Last released

Intech Investments Branding

algoz

Last released

Algorithmia and Threeza interoperability

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